Greetings fellow prop market investors and Thursday Night Football. My rough start to the prop year was erased with one dominate Monday Night Football showing and now I’m ready to carry the momentum into a Thursday night matchup near and dear to Sean and I’s heart. Thursday Night Football has been dominated by the home teams to date, which begs the question will the Giants keep the trend going or will the Super Bowl champs wake up from their hangover. For now, let’s dive into the matchup and identify inefficiencies in the prop market to get you paid on Monday Night Football. For more in-depth analysis listen to the Week 6 Picks Podcast below.
Season: 11-9 (1.3u)
Last Week: 5-0 (+5.9u)
Monday Night Football Game Info
Time: Thursday, October 8th @ 5:30 PM Pacific
Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
Weather: 73f & light rain
TV: FOX(Joe Buck, Troy Aikman, Erin Andrews, Kristina Pink)
Spread: Eagles -3
Odds courtesy of MyBookie.ag
Monday Night Football Prop Bets – Five Ways to Get Paid
1. Total Sacks Over 4.5 (-105)
I’m jumping back on the sack wagon as any game with Eli Manning will result in at least 2-3 “fall-down” sacks. Add in the fact that these teams have averaged giving up 6.5 sacks per game and the Giants will get their best pass rusher in Oliver Vernon back and I’m sold. See you at the window sometime in the 3rd quarter.
2. Giants Team Total Over 20.5 (-115)
Quite simply this Eagles defense is no the same away from home giving up 26.5 pts per game against TB & TEN. Eli had no issues moving the ball against this defense last year putting up, you guessed it, 26.5 pts per game. Ill ride these averages to another winning ticket.
3. Corey Clement Over 21.5 Receiving Yards (+110)
The Eagles are down to Clement & Smallwood at the RB position and although DVOA will tell you that the Giants have been decent defending the running back(#10) in the passing game this number is just too low. Look for Clement to be the primary passing back and easily go over this total.
4. Eli Manning Over Passing Yards 265.5 Passing Yards (-110) & 5. No INT (+145)
Eli threw for 800 yards in two games vs the Eagles last year, I expect much of the same against a passing defense that has been less than stellar in 2018. Im also going to play the no INT prop as coming off a 2INT game I expect Eli to get back to his conservative ways and protect the ball.
Good luck and Let it Ride!!!