Greetings fellow prop market investors and happy Week Five. Hopefully, you didn’t face the incredible luck of having your biggest bet(Dolphins +6.5 up 17-0 at the half) get destroyed by 2 4th quarter defensive touchdowns followed by my beloved Giants getting hosed by the refs then crushed by a 63-yard FG…seriously tough beat. As the “great” Brandon Lang once said, I was definitely on the right side of that one.
This MNF matchup brings a battle of 1st place teams and potential playoff matchup as Alex Smith and the new look Redskins face Drew Brees and the usual look Saints. Will the Redskins defense continue to play like a force and slow down the high flying Saints offense? Or will this be much of the same from the Saints with a dominate prime time showing at home? For now, let’s dive into the matchup and identify inefficiencies in the prop market to get you paid on Monday Night Football. For more in-depth analysis listen to the Week 5 Picks Podcast below.
Season: 6-9 (-4.6u)
Last Week: 2-3 (-1.3u)
Monday Night Football Game Info
Time: Monday, October 8th @ 5:30 PM Pacific
Location: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
TV: ESPN(Joe Tessitore, Jason Witten, Booger McFarland, Lisa Salters)
Spread: Saints -6
Odds courtesy of MyBookie.ag
Monday Night Football Prop Bets – Five Ways to Get Paid
1. Chris Thompson Over 44.5 Receiving Yards (-110) & 2. Over 4.5 Receptions (-130)
Again I’m going to attack a deficiency here. The Saints are 31st defending the running back in the passing game. Thompson is one of the most dynamic pass catchers in the league at the running back position and has a quarterback that has a propensity to check down. Set it, forget it and enjoy the $$$.
3. Mark Ingram Over 43.5 Rushing Yards(-110) & 4. To Score a Rushing TD (+190)
There are some that think the Saints won’t inject Ingram right back into the offense, well I disagree. This is a juicy matchup for the Saints as the Redskins feature the 31st rushing defense according to DVOA, and while you will hear talk defense being their strength it is against the pass, not the run. Ingram hits this over by the 3rd Q and finds the end zone to cash this double dip.
5. Michael Thomas Under 93.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
As I mentioned earlier the Redskins have been a stalworth against the pass this year, specifically against the #1 & #2 WRs. I love Michael Thomas but as the Giants showed you can slow down the passing game. The Redskins surely paid attention and will be working to prevent the Brees-led passing attack from being the reason they lose this game. This one won’t be fun to route for but when it brings you to the window it won’t matter.
Good luck and Let it Ride!!!