Sunday Night Baseball Game Info
Time: Sunday, July 22nd @ 8:08 PM Eastern
Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Weather: 77 degrees, wind 13 mph SE
TV: ESPN
MoneyLine: New York Mets (+160) Vs. New York Yankees (-190)
Spread: New York Mets (+1.5) -130 Vs. New York Yankees (-1.5) +110
Total: 8 over (-125) under (+105)
Side & Total
Tonight the Yankees and Mets meet up in what should be a low scoring affair. Jacob DeGrom leads the Mets into Yankee Stadium to face Masahiro Tanaka in what could be one of his last starts in a Mets uniform. He’s been incredible this season with a 1.68 ERA but should have his work cut out for him against a Yankee lineup that missed out on the Machado sweepstakes but isn’t any less menacing.
Some interesting trends going into this courtesy of OddsShark: Mets are 6-1 ATS last 7 games, 4-1 ATS last 5 road games, 4-1 last 5 against Yankees. Yankees are 1-4 ATS last 5 games, 14-5 SU in last 19 games at home and 7-2 SU last 9 games against Mets.
The trends and DeGrom tell me Mets cover spread. Common sense tells me Yankees win straight up. Kinda silly to bet both so personally I’m going with Mets +1.5 and the under. I think the total might be the safest play here with DeGrom neutralizing the Yankee lineup and the Yankee bullpen ready to throw up zeroes from the 5th-9th if needed. 8 seems a little high even with all the sluggers in pinstripes. The Mets lineup is that bad.
Props
For the prop side, I like no score in the 1st inning at -115. Mets lineup is bad and DeGrom is basically giving you a free half inning with his stuff. It’s risky but I don’t really trust any of the game totals here for a variety of reasons. Better to get in and out quick with a no score prop since I’m expecting both sides to throw up zeroes most of the night.
Daily Fantasy Plays Sunday Night
With a star-studded lineup like the Yankees, it’s hard finding the reasonable value. Brett Gardner at $8,200 fits the bill however with his ability to get on and steal bases. With the guys around him he gets pitches to hit in this kind of matchup so pairing him with the starting pitchers and looking for margin type guys to round out your lineup is a nice strategy that should separate you from the pack. As tempting as Judge is he’s not worth the price against a pitcher like this.
Final Notes
It’s crazy to think just three years ago the Mets were riding their young staff to an NL pennant while the Yankees were beginning to build towards the future. The Mets window appears to have closed thanks to injuries, wasted potential and signing too many guys with AARP cards.
Meanwhile, the Yankees still have assets in the farm and a young core that should have them competing for years to come. If the Mets do decide to trade DeGrom before the deadline their fans will be stuck with “what could have been?” for years to come and watching their crosstown rivals won’t make it any easier.
