Week Six College Football Importance Guide

Week-Six-College-PreviewHere is my complete list of Week Six College Football Previews from least important to most important. For more College Football analysis check out the Week 6 College Football Picks Podcast.

57. Oregon State @ USC
Oregon State is already pretty awful but now they face a USC team that needs a impressive victory. This one should be over by the end of the first.

56. Charleston Southern @ Indiana
Charleston Southern is a decent FCS school but once again it’s the rebound game after Indiana got destroyed at Penn State. Indiana is a much better team than their record and here’s a game they’ll prove that.

55. Iowa State @ Oklahoma
Iowa State is improving as a program but come on hardly anyone goes into Norman and gets a victory. Plus, Oklahoma has had a week to prepare. I’m not touching it but if I had to I’d do say OU minus the points.

54. Marshall @ Charlotte
Charlotte had their chance to get their 1st win of the season against Florida International but they blew a double digit 2nd half lead and lost yet another game. This week they welcome one of the best Conference USA teams which means blowout city. Marshall minus the points all day.

53. Western Kentucky @ UTEP
UTEP covered last week vs Army but still lost by double digits. The word is the coach is out in El Paso so you must wonder what the players are feeling like. Western Kentucky is somewhat rebuilding but they’re still a bowl caliber team that should roll in this one.

52. Maryland @ Ohio State
The Terps had a nice win last week at Minnesota with their third string quarterback. That’s pretty amazing. Especially considering the offense was able to move the ball pretty consistently. Ohio State has had some nice blowout wins the past few weeks but Maryland is better than Rutgers, UNLV & Army. Still one can’t help but wonder how their third string QB will perform in the Horseshoe. Gimme MD and the points if I had to but OSU should still have a nice sized win on their hands.

51. Bowling Green @ Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) got killed last week at Notre Dame and will look to get back on track against a winless Bowling Green team. BG keeps it close in the first half but the wheels come off in the second.

50. Memphis @ UCONN
UCONN played SMU better than I thought they would despite SMU covering. Memphis is coming off a tough loss on the road to Central Florida. The Memphis offense should be no match for Uconn. Take the Tigers minus the points.

49. San Diego State @ UNLV
The Aztecs continue their unbeaten run last week against a tough Northern Illinois team. UNLV is coming off a blowout win over San Jose State. The Rebels two wins have been against Idaho & San Jose State which are no match to this San Diego State Aztecs team. Give me San Diego State minus the points.

48. Kent State @ Northern Illinois
If Kent State could ever find some offense they might be a decent MAC team but that’s a big if. Northern Illinois is coming off a tough road loss to San Diego State. I look for NIU to rebound big against Kent State.

47. Texas Tech @ Kansas
Texas Tech has been a surprise team this year. Despite their close loss at home to Oklahoma State last week. Kansas has been, well they’ve been the Kansas of old. Terrible. Still, maybe once or twice a year the Jayhawks show up and play a conference for tougher than they usually do and I think this week could be the one. Texas Tech still gets the win but give me the Jayhawks and the points.

46. Missouri @ Kentucky
Kentucky sure blew the Florida game and then got pushed to the brink last week against Eastern Michigan. Missouri is already making plans on getting a new coach after their awful start. Give me the Wildcats minus the points.

45. Louisiana Tech @ UAB
UAB is a bit better than I figured they would be despite not having a football program for a couple years. Louisiana Tech should of beat South Carolina two weeks ago and last week they took down South Alabama so UAB shouldn’t be much of a match. Give me the Bulldogs minus the 11.5.

44. Army @ Rice
The Black Knights are on their way to what looks like another bowl season. Rice is one the nations worst teams and could be replacing their coach at seasons end. Rice might be able to move the ball some in the first half but give Army should pull away as the game moves on. Give me Army minus the 13 points.

43. Arkansas State @ Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is winless and haven’t looked very good this season. Arkansas State is 1-2 but their losses have been to Nebraska and SMU. This is a nice Wednesday night matchup but give me Arkansas State minus the points.

42. Fresno State @ San Jose State
Jeff Tedford has already got Fresno State over last years win totals and he’s only four games in. San Jose State is one of the worst teams in the nation. Fresno gets the win but I wouldn’t touch the game spread wise.

41. Louisiana Monroe @ Texas State
LA Monroe is coming off a eight point win against Coastal Carolina while Texas State is coming off a blowout loss at Wyoming. The Texas State offense has really struggled to move the ball and Louisiana Monroe seems to be improving as a team. Give me LA Monroe minus the points.

40. Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina
It’s the battle of one win teams. This is a shit game but it’s a home game for Coastal Carolina so I’ll go Coastal Carolina Plus the points.

39. Hawaii @ Nevada
This should be an interesting game. Nevada is winless and seems to be heading in the wrong direction after some close games at Northwestern and home against Toledo. Hawaii started off 2-0 but have lost every game since. Something has to give here. Stay away from betting it but it should be a decent game.

38. Florida International @ Middle Tennessee
FIU had a nice comeback win against one of the worst teams in the country in Charlotte. While Middle Tennessee got upset by Florida Atlantic on the road. I like the Blue Raiders to get back on track with a nice win against FIU.

37. Western Michigan @ Buffalo
Buffalo has been one of the best surprise teams in the country and you could argue that they should be 4-1 if not for blowing the Army game. Western Michigan is coming off an amazing blowout win against a decent Ball State team. I like what Buffalo is doing but WMU is looking like a MAC contender.

36. Florida Atlantic @ Old Dominion
Old Dominion has been somewhat of a let down but then again they are starting a true freshman seventeen year old quarterback. FAU has been a let down as well despite a nice win last week at home against Middle Tennessee. Give me Old Dominion plus the 4.5.

35. Louisiana Lafayette @ Idaho
Louisiana Lafayette is probably a little bit better than their 1-3 record so this could be a close game. Yes, Idaho is a decent team that should be favored but I think this will be a good game. Take the points if you touch it but I’m still staying away from it.

34. Temple @ East Carolina
Temple struggles to score the ball while East Carolina let’s everyone score on them. Something has to give right? ECU has given up over 35 points every game this season. I’m staying away from this one but maybe the Pirates can actually keep a terrible offense under 35.

33. Ball State @ Akron
The Zips are better than their record as I stated last week. Ball State who I thought was really improving took a royal ass beating from Western Michigan last week. I expect them to rebound and play up for this one but Akron is the better team. I still like Ball State plus the points but not enough to really bet it.

32. Tulsa @ Tulane
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane sure have their work cut out for them. Everything that has gone wrong for them has pretty much happened. Last week they were up on Navy but couldn’t sustain their option attack so as the game went on the more they broke down. Well here’s another shot at it since Tulane runs another option attack. The good news is Navy is a better team than Tulane. Staying away from this one but should be a decent game.

31. New Mexico State @ Appalachian State
App State has struggled a lot more on offense than I thought they would this year. New Mexico State on the other hand has overachieved my expectations this year. I like App State to get the win but New Mexico State covers!

30. Central Michigan @ Ohio
This is a big game for Central Michigan who doesn’t want to fall to 2-4 on he year. Ohio is favored to be playing in the MAC championship when it’s all said and done. Ohio wins this one but maybe central covers?

29. Illinois @ Iowa
Iowa is coming off a tough loss to Michigan State where they had their chances to win the game but couldn’t generate enough offense to do so. Illinois got blown out at home to Nebraska last week. I look for Iowa to get back on track with a nice home victory over a pretty shitty Illinois team. Give me Illinois +18.5 though if I had to take anything.

28. Colorado State @ Utah State
This is a nice mountain west match up here. Both teams are on track to be bowling and this is a pivotal division game that could be huge come late November. Utah State handled their rival BYU last week while Colorado State blew out Hawaii. I like Colorado State in this game minus the seven points.

27. Southern Miss @ UTSA
UTSA has really been flying under the radar this year. They have handled every team they’ve faced including Baylor on the road. Southern Miss is solid but struggles to pass the football. Last week Southern Miss lost to North Texas who should be bowling so that’s not an awful loss. I just question how much they can move the ball with a one sided offense like that. Give me UTSA minus the points.

26. Boise State @ BYU
This used to be a huge game, but both teams are down this year and desperate for a win. Boise State is the better team here and needs to rebound after getting beat down at home by Virginia. BYU still struggles to move the ball. Give me the Broncos minus the points.

25. Eastern Michigan @ Toledo
EMU is 2-2 but their losses were an overtime loss to Ohio and a close loss at Kentucky so that’s quite misleading. Toledo on the other hand despite not covering against Miami had that game going in the right direction, they were up double digits in the 2nd half before the wheels fell off. This should be a highly entertaining game. I like Eastern Michigan and the points but Toledo gets the actual W.

24. Central Florida @ Cincinnati
Cincinnati has exceeded my expectations already this year despite the loss to Navy. Central Florida has as well despite me being very high on them coming into the year. Right now they’re in the top 25 and that’s saying something. Head coach Scott Frost will likely be coaching Nebraska next year. Still this is a concerning game for them. Cincinnati seems to be getting better each week and the cold weather may play a factor here. I think UCF gets the win but give me the Bearcats plus the points.

23. Pittsburgh @ Syracuse
Both teams could sure use this win. Syracuse is coming off a two game road skid and Pitt was getting beat down all September until they played Rice last week. Give me the orange minus the points.

22. Air Force @ Navy
A classic rivalry that should be a good game. Air Force is coming off three tough losses and needs to find a win here. Meanwhile Navy is flying under the radar and having a great season. For some reason Navy seems to have had the Falcons number of late so I’m going to continue to ride that trend and say Navy minus the points.

21. Arizona @ Colorado
Colorado really should of won last week against UCLA. Their coaches made some awful decisions and their wideouts dropped a couple of touchdowns. Arizona had the week off to prepare for the Buffs team. Arizona will need to develop their passing offense if they want to win this game. I like the Buffs minus the points at home to get the W.

20. SMU @ Houston
Last year SMU shocked the world with a big upset over Houston. This year the Cougars should want some revenge. Still with that being said I like this years SMU team. I like SMU to cover and maybe to even win outright again.

19. Virginia Tech @ Boston College
The Hokies let me down last week but that was against Clemson. The BC offense is pretty terrible so they shouldn’t be challenged much on that side of the ball. VT always seems to have a let down week or two and this need not be it. BC desperately needs a big time win. Give me VT to win the game but the Golden Eagles find a way to cover.

18. Ole Miss @ Auburn
Is Auburn perhaps for real? I guess we won’t find out much this week since Ole Miss is pretty terrible and already playing for next season. I’m not touching this one but if I were I’d take ole Miss minus the points.

17. Wake Forest @ Clemson
Could Wake actually give Clemson a game? Clemson is known to have a few let down games and Wake has been playing great this year. Clemson gets it done again but Wake covers with the 22 points.

16. Duke @ Virginia
Suddenly this is a huge game in the coastal division! Who would of thought? Bronco Mendenhall has Virginia playing much better than expected and Duke is one the biggest surprise teams over the year. I’m staying away from this one but if I had to I’d take Duke plus the points.

15. Georgia @ Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt has been somewhat a thorn in Georgia’s side the past couple of seasons. Something about their team gives the Bulldogs problems and here we have Georgia coming off their biggest win in sometime coming into Nashville. I like Vandy plus the points in this one. UGA needs to find a way to just win out right.

14. Notre Dame @ North Carolina
North Carolina is off to an awful start and desperately needs to find a win. Notre Dame is taking care of business despite the Georgia loss they seem to be somewhat legit. Give me the Tarheels and the points but ND wins the game.

13. California @ Washington
Cal has been one of the biggest surprises of the year but their past three games have been brutal as far as schedule goes. Home vs USC, at Oregon, at Washington. Man that’s tough. Washington at home plays at another level. Give me Washington minus the points.

12. Arkansas @ South Carolina
The Razorbacks need this game if not for their own season then for their coaches job security. South Carolina is trending downward after losing their best player for the year. I like Arkansas minus the 2 points.

11. Minnesota @ Purdue
Who would of thought this would be a nice matchup? This used to be an absolute shit game but the BIG 10 has really changed over the past couple of years. Minnesota is coming off a home loss to Maryland but PJ Fleck is still doing a great job with them. Purdue has had a week to focus on this one and that’s an edge I’m willing to take. Give me Purdue -3.5.
Kansas State @ Texas

10. Penn State @ Northwestern
Northwestern fought hard last week at Wisconsin but came up short. Penn State blew out Indiana. Penn State struggled in their first road trip at Iowa and I think that continues at Northwestern. Penn State gets the win but Northwestern gets the cover.

9. Stanford @ Utah
I’m still confused on how Stanford is favored in this game? Utah has a great home field advantage and their undefeated. For that reason alone this game is fishy for me. Regardless I’ll take Utah and the points for this one. I kinda like Utah money line as well.

8. Michigan State @ Michigan
The rivalry continues! The real question will be if the Michigan offense can actually get going? If not this could be a dog fight between two limited offenses. I like Michigan to find their way to cover this game.

7. Wisconsin @ Nebraska
Nebraska has struggled all year long with exception to the Illinois game. Their athletic director has been fired and some say their head coach is next, so what a set up we have here. Wisconsin who really hasn’t played anyone but has looked great regardless and a under performing but talented Nebraska team. I like Nebraska to cover here but I think Wisconsin finds a way to win the game.

6. Miami (FL) @ Florida State
This originally was my game of the week before Florida State lost their starting quarterback and that hurricane came through and cancelled a bunch of football games. Now I’m really not sure what we have besides a heated rivalry that’s always fun to watch. Malik Rosier looked pretty good last week for Miami but that was Duke and this FSU defense is nasty. The other question will be if Florida State can actually pass the ball consistently on this Miami D. I’m not sure they can. Give me the Hurricanes minus the points in this one.

5. Washington State @ Oregon
This is a interesting matchup. Eugene is one of the toughest places to win for road teams and Wazzu is coming off a huge win. I was ready to take the Ducks in an upset but then I remembered they’re without their star quarterback Justin Herbert for 4-6 weeks. That’s a critical blow. For that reason alone give me Wazzu minus the points but man I don’t like this game.

4. Louisville @ NC State
Finally a great Thursday night matchup. If NC State can take care of business here they’ll potentially be in the drivers seat to take the Atlantic with getting Clemson at home in Raleigh. Louisville came into the season really overrated in my opinion. The defense just has so many holes and the receiving core isn’t as good as last years. Yes, Lamar Jackson is a special player who can pretty much win a game on his own but NC State is pretty talented across the board. Give me NC State plus the points in this one.

3. LSU @ Florida
I don’t even know if I should have this game this high? Both teams are very questionable. Florida seems to be getting a little bit better on offense and LSU is just terrible on offense so this should be a defensive struggle of a game. Give me Florida minus the points since they’re at home.

2. Alabama @ Texas A&M
This could be a blowout and probably will be but it also could save Kevin Sumlin’s job if the Aggies somehow found a way to beat bama with their 2nd string freshman QB at the helm. I doubt it but I am starting to think this A&M team is better than I thought they were. Give me A&M to cover.

1. West Virginia @ TCU
The Big 12 is looking might legit this year. TCU is looking like the 2nd best team in the conference. Now here comes West Virginia who may just be flying under the radar a bit. Yes, they lost a close game to Virginia Tech but I’ve been real impressed with QB Will Grier and I think they’ll challenge TCU to the brink. TCU gets the win but give me West VA and the points.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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