I am back with another NRFI/YRFI set of picks for Thursday’s incredible MLB slate! First, I will look at who will make us some money for article number three. Make sure you follow me on Twitter @PickManagement for more MLB and NRFI/YRFI free plays. Go here for the latest MLB first five-inning betting.
Yes or No Run Scored In The First Inning: Best Bets For Thursday – June 1, 2023
What is NRFI betting?
NRFI betting is placing a bet on two baseball teams not scoring in the 1st inning. This includes both the top and bottom halves of the inning. So if the visiting ball club is held scoreless through the top of the 1st inning, but the home team scores in the bottom, the NRFI is a losing wager. But if both teams are held scoreless through the first inning, the NRFI is a winning bet. Several important factors go into selecting a NRFI bet, even down to the stadium they play in.
For example, first-inning NRFI wagers are likelier to hit at LoanDepot Park than Coors Field because Coors Field is more homerun friendly. Additionally, when aces oppose one another, it’s more likely for an NRFI bet to win than when a pair of struggling pitchers face top-shelf lineups.
But, of course, these factors are all weighed by sportsbooks when setting lines. So the odds are shorter for ‘No Runs First Inning’ when elite pitchers face each other. As a result, it pays to dig deeper and factor in all of the tips highlighted in the strategy section.
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins; 1:10 pm EST
The Padres and Marlins will be finishing their three-game series tomorrow in Miami. So far, the Padres took Game 1 with today left to play out. Something to remember about this Miami team, they currently lead the MLB in scoreless first innings. So far this season, across 45 games, they have a 36-19 NRFI record.
That gets even better when playing at home, as they have gone 19-7 NRFI. The Marlins are the second-worst first-inning scoring team in the league, with just .31 runs per average in the first inning. The Padres aren’t too far behind, currently sitting with the 10th-best MLB record when it comes to scoreless first innings.
The Padres are sending Joe Musgrove to the mound to face this Marlins team. Joe Musgrove currently has a 2-2 record with 31 strikeouts, a 1.45 WHIP, and a 5.64 ERA. I’m throwing all that out the window here, though, because I care about the first inning. Musgrove has a 4-2 NRFI record, and when facing the second-lowest-scoring first-inning team in Miami, I think that record continues to improve.
Jesus Luzardo will be opposing the Padres in this one. He heads into this game, having pitched in 11 games with a 4-3 record, 70 strikeouts, 1.39 WHIP, and 3.67 ERA. But again, I’m not focused on those stats here. Instead, what I’m focused on is Luzardo’s unbelievable 10-1 NRFI record that he currently has. He has been a total shutdown pitcher against opponents so far this season.
There is a lot going in our favor for this game. The number one NRFI team with a pitcher on a 10-1 NRFI run against this decent NRFI Padres team who sends a 4-2 NRFI pitcher to the mound. I think these two teams do enough to get by, and they get us the six outs we need.