Welcome to the inaugural Lower League Lowdown! The Lower League Lowdown: Previews, Predictions, and Best Bets in European Lower League Soccer is your guide to the hidden gems in European Soccer. There are literally dozens of great soccer leagues that sportsbooks don’t have the time to focus on. That means I can find soft lines for you to hammer. So let’s dig into this week’s Best Bets in European Soccer.
The Lower League Lowdown: Previews, Predictions, and Best Bets in European Soccer
Norway Eliteserien Previews Predictions and Best Bets
Viking FK vs. Odd BK – 12 pm EST Tuesday, May 16, 2023
Viking FK had a disappointing finish to their 2022 season, finishing in 11th place with 31 points. The start of this season was what they wanted to see from their team.
Currently sitting in third place in Eliteserien, they have 11 out of a possible 18 points. That means they have three wins, two draws, and a loss so far this year. They have scored in their last five games, scoring more than 1.5 goals in three of them. In addition to their high scoring, they have seen BTTS Yes in their previous four games.
On the other side of the pitch, we have Odd BK. They are ninth in the league with two wins, three draws, and one loss. They have only scored three goals in six games so far this year. That will not be enough when facing a Viking team that likes to push the ball. Odd BK has only scored one goal in their last five games.
Their defense is the only thing that has kept them alive, allowing only three goals so far this season. They have not played well against the upper echelon of Norway Eliteserien, losing 1-0 and 2-0 to the top two teams. I see a similar situation coming on Tuesday when Odd take on Viking,
Viking has the edge across the board in this match. They have their eyes set on a top finish in Norway, and they are playing like every game needs to be a win, which is why I think we have seen goals in their games. I’m not counting on Odd BK to assist in the total, so I’ll stick with team totals.
Viking FK (-140)
Viking FK Team Total Over 1.5 (-148)
Turkey Super Lig Previews Predictions and Best Bets
Faith Karagumruk vs. Adana Dempirspor – 1 pm EST Wednesday, May 17
Adana Demirspor visits Faith Karagumruk on Wednesday in what should be a high-scoring showdown. Faith Karagumruk has seen both teams score in nine out of their last ten games. Seven of those ten games have also seen the total go over three goals. Faith Karagumruk is the best team in Turkey Super Lig for BTTS, Yes.
Adana Demirspor has won four out of their last five games, and four of those games have gone over three goals. They currently sit in fourth place in Turkey Super Lig but have a sketchy road record. They have lost four out of their last seven road games, and in all seven of those road games, they gave up at least one goal.
These two teams are unreliable; neither Faith Karagumruk at home nor Adana Demirspor on the road. However, the one thing you can count on from these two teams is goals, so that’s what I’m riding with.
Faith Karagumruk Team Total OV 1.5 +100
Adana Demirspor Team Total OV 1.5 -160
BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 Goals -185
Over 3 -175
English Championship Previews, Predictions, and Best Bets
Middlesbrough FC vs. Coventry City – 3 pm Wednesday, May 17
A lot is on the line in this game as the winner heads to the English Championship. Middlesbrough head into this game with the second-best attacking record in the Championship. In 46 games, they scored 84 goals. Of their 15 losses, only three came at Riverside Stadium. On the other hand, Coventry has only lost once in their last five games versus Middlesbrough.
🧱 Paddy McNair vs Coventry City:
Duels won: 6⃣#EFLPlayOffs | #StepUp pic.twitter.com/kesuQc9Dxc
— Sky Bet Championship (@SkyBetChamp) May 15, 2023
These two teams just faced each other in a game that finished 0-0. Including the last game, Coventry has only seen one game reach three goals, and Middlesbrough has only seen one game go over three goals. Because of how Game 1 played out, the importance of this game, and the fact that Riverside Stadium has been a fortress makes, me say this is another low-scoring affair.
Game Under 3 -177
German Bundesliga 2 Previews, Predictions, and Best Bets
Darmstadt vs. Magdeburg – 12:30 pm Friday, May 19, 2023
I’m going to keep this one short and simple. Darmstadt have won the most games in games in Bundesliga 2 and has seen their last eight home games go over three goals. Magdeburg isn’t great on the road, but they do give up goals that are dangerous versus this Darmstadt team. Because of that, I’m riding with a home win and goals.
Darmstadt Win and Over 1.5 Goals -150
Darmstadt Win and Over 2.5 Goals -105
Sweden Superttan Previews, Predictions, and Best Bets
IK Brage vs. Gefle IF – 1 pm Friday, May 19, 2023
IK Brage is 3-1-1 in their last five games, allowing only one team to score a goal on them. Utsiktens scored four goals on IK Brage, but before that, they hadn’t allowed a goal in four games. They are 2-1 at home and haven’t allowed a goal in their last two games.
On the other side, Gefle IF have lost their last two road games and four out of their last five overall. IK Brage has high hopes for this season, and it is always a tough game when you face them at home. They have a stout defense and know how to score.
IK Brage -.75 -140
Netherlands Eerste Divisie Previews, Predictions, and Best Bets
Almere City vs. MVV Maastricht – 2 pm Friday, May 19, 2023
MVV Maastricht has seen both teams score in 70% of their games this season. In addition, 73% of their games have gone over 2.5 goals. Almere City has seen four out of their last five home games go over 2.5 goals. They have also seen BTTS Yes in four out of their last six home games.
Those stats lead me to only one play here.
BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 Goals -140
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs. ADO Den Haag – 2 pm Friday, May 19, 2023
This game is another game very similar to the first. AZ Alkmaar has seen BTTS Yes in 63 % of their games overall, including four out of their last six games at home. Their totals have gone over 2.5 goals in 59% of their games. They have also seen the total reach or surpass three goals in four out of their last six home games too.
ADO Den Haag has seen BTTS Yes in 65% of all their games and has seen over 2.5 goals in 62% of all games. Nine out of their last ten road games have also had both teams score. To add to those stats, eight out of their last 11 games have also gone over three goals. Because of these stats, I’m only betting one way here.
BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 Goals -170
Germany Bundesliga 2 Previews, Predictions, and Best Bets
Arminia Bielefield vs. Paderborn – 7 am Saturday, May 20, 2023
These are two of the highest-scoring teams in Germany’s Bundesliga 2. Armenia Bielefeld has seen BTTS Yes in an incredible 72% of their games, while fourth-place Paderborn has seen BTTS Yes in 56% of games overall, including five out of their last six games on the road.
These two teams don’t just see both teams score, but they see goals galore in most games. A mind-boggling 72% of Paderborn’s total games have seen the total go over 2.5 goals per game. Arminia Bielefeld isn’t far behind, with 66% of their games also going over 2.5 goals. So go with goals in this early Saturday match.
BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 Goals -140
Belgium First Division Previews, Predictions, and Best Bets
Gent vs. Cercle Brugge – 2:45 pm Saturday, May 20, 2023
These two teams just played on May 13, and things did not go well for Cercle Brugge at home, as they lost to Gent 4-0. However, Cercle Brugge went into that game on a four-game unbeaten run, winning three times in that span. It was the second time they lasted a home game all year. Now they hit the road to take on the high-flying Gent team.
Gift Orban hat-trick for Gent over the weekend.
Proper masterclass 💫 pic.twitter.com/sZLy9Y4wWP
— Soar Super Eagles (@SSE_NGA) May 15, 2023
Before the last game, Gent was on a bit of a cold streak, as they were winless in their last five games. However, Gent has scored in their last seven home games, and after last week’s performance, I don’t see any reason why they wouldn’t continue to score, especially now that they’ll be playing in front of their home crowd. Therefore, I like Gent to continue their scoring streak here.
Gent Team Total Over 1.5 -132
Denmark Superligaen Previews, Predictions, and Best Bets
FC Copenhagen vs. AGF Aarhus – 12 pm Saturday, May 20, 2023
On Sunday, we get to see first-place FC Copenhagen host fourth-place AGF Aarhus. FC Copenhagen have dominated at home (even though they lost their last home game). Before the last game, they had won six in a row and had scored more than 1.5 team goals in five out of the last seven home games. To add to their game team total record, they have also scored more than 1.5 goals in 10 out of the last 13 games overall. So, as you can see, FC Copenhagen has been sufficiently dominating Denmark.
AGF Aarhus hit the road to take on this red-hot Copenhagen team, and I’m not sure they have enough to slow them down. Yes, they’ve won five out of the last seven road games they’ve played and have played well overall, but they haven’t faced the toughest competition recently and lost to FC Copenhagen the last time they played them on the road. I get Aarhus held Copenhagen to a draw just four games ago, but they were at home in that game.
I think the fact FC Copenhagen was held to a goalless draw the last time they played AGF Aarhus is the best thing for us here. With Copenhagen at home, I think they take it to Aarhus.
FC Copenhagen -135
FC Copenhagen Team Total Over 1.5 -118