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Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays – MLB – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The Houston Astros (102-54) host the Tampa Bay Rays (85-71) to kick off a three-game series at Minute Maid Park, with first pitch at 8:10 PM ET on Friday. The Astros are on the back of a series split with the Diamondbacks, and the Rays a series loss to the Guardians.

The Rays (+147 underdog on the moneyline) are away versus the Astros (-172). The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Houston Astros looking to Framber Valdez (16-5), and Drew Rasmussen (10-7) getting the nod for the Tampa Bay Rays. The matchup has an over/under set at 6.5 total runs.

Astros vs. Rays Predictions

Astros vs. Rays Betting Odds

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Astros vs. Rays Last 10 Games Betting Performance


  • Houston was favored on the moneyline for eight of its last 10 games, and finished 5-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • Houston’s ATS record is 6-4-0 over its past 10 games.

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  • Tampa Bay has played as the underdog in four of its past 10 games and has won two of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • Over its last 10 games, Tampa Bay is 4-6-0 against the spread.
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Astros vs. Rays Starting Pitcher Betting Trends

Projected starter: Framber Valdez

  • The Astros have gone 18-11-0 against the spread when Valdez starts.
  • The Astros have been favored on the moneyline in 26 of Valdez’s starts this season, and they went 19-7 in those games.
  • Valdez’s team has won 20 of his 29 starts.
  • Valdez has had 29 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined hit the over in 12 of those matchups.

Projected starter: Drew Rasmussen

  • Rasmussen and his team are 15-12-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • His team has been victorious in 42.9% of the games he’s started as the moneyline underdog with a record of 3-4.
  • Rasmussen’s team has won 18 of his 27 starts.
  • In games Rasmussen has started this season, the teams are 12-13-2 at hitting the over.

Astros Batting Leaders

  • Yordan Alvarez leads the Astros with 37 home runs and has a team-best batting average of .304.
  • Alvarez ranks fifth in homers and 13th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
  • Alvarez has hit safely in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .357 with four walks and two RBI.
  • Alex Bregman is batting .262 with 38 doubles, 22 home runs and 85 walks.
  • Bregman currently ranks 49th in homers and 21st in RBI in the bigs.
  • Jose Altuve is hitting .295 with 35 doubles, 28 home runs and 65 walks.
  • Kyle Tucker’s 104 runs batted in lead his team.
  • Tucker has safely hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .278 with a double, three walks and two RBI.

Rays Batting Leaders

  • Yandy Diaz leads Tampa Bay with a .292 batting average. He’s also hit nine homers and has 54 RBI.
  • In all of MLB, Diaz ranks 197th in home runs and 120th in RBI.
  • Randy Arozarena is batting .267 this season with a team-high 20 home runs and 88 RBI.
  • Arozarena is 61st in homers and 23rd in RBI among all hitters in the major leagues.
  • Harold Ramirez has 119 hits this season and a slash line of .308/.352/.417.
  • Isaac Paredes’ 20 home runs are most among Tampa Bay batters. He’s driven in 45 runs this season while slugging .453.

Where To Watch Astros vs. Rays

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