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New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves – MLB – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The New York Mets (98-58) and Atlanta Braves (97-59) square off in the first of a three-game series on Friday at Truist Park, at 7:20 PM ET. The Mets are coming off a series split with the Marlins, and the Braves a series win over the Nationals.

Oddsmakers project the Mets as a small favorite (-115 on the moneyline) against the Braves (-105). The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the New York Mets looking to Jacob deGrom (5-3), and Max Fried (13-7) answering the bell for the Atlanta Braves. The over/under for this game is 6.5.

Mets vs. Braves Predictions

Mets vs. Braves Betting Odds

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Mets vs. Braves Last 10 Games Betting Performance


  • New York was the moneyline favorite for nine of its last 10 games, and finished 6-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total eight times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • New York’s record against the spread is 6-4-0 over its past 10 games.

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  • Over the past 10 games, Atlanta has been the underdog just once and lost that contest.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Braves and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • Atlanta has a record of 4-6-0 ATS over its last 10 games.
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Mets vs. Braves Starting Pitcher Betting Trends

Projected starter: Jacob deGrom

  • The Mets have a 4-6-0 ATS record in deGrom’s 10 starts that had a set spread.
  • The Mets have a 6-4 record in deGrom’s 10 starts this season when they were favored on the moneyline.
  • deGrom’s team is 6-4 over his 10 starts.
  • deGrom has had 10 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined hit the over in three of those outings.

Projected starter: Max Fried

  • Fried’s team is 17-12-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • His team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are underdogs on the moneyline (4-2).
  • Fried’s team has won 19 of his 29 starts this season.
  • In games Fried has started this season, the teams are 13-16-0 at hitting the over.

Mets Batting Leaders

  • Pete Alonso has put up a team-best 40 home runs and 131 runs batted in.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Alonso’s home run total ranks third and his RBI tally ranks first.
  • Francisco Lindor is batting .274 with 24 doubles, five triples, 25 home runs and 59 walks.
  • Lindor ranks 36th in homers and sixth in RBI among MLB batters this season.
  • Lindor takes a 13-game hitting streak into this game. In his last 10 games he is batting .364 with three doubles, a triple, a home run, a walk and nine RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo is hitting .266 with 28 doubles, seven triples, 14 home runs and 70 walks.
  • Jeff McNeil is hitting .320 to pace his team.
  • McNeil has hit safely in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .455 with a double, two walks and an RBI.

Braves Batting Leaders

  • Austin Riley is batting .275 this season with a team-high 37 home runs.
  • Riley’s home run total ranks fifth in MLB, and he is 18th in RBI.
  • Matt Olson is a key run producer for Atlanta with a .236 average, 30 homers and 96 RBI.
  • Olson ranks 18th in homers and 11th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
  • Olson heads into this matchup on a four-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is hitting .357 with a double, two home runs, three walks and five RBI.
  • Dansby Swanson is batting .276 to lead Atlanta, while adding 22 homers and 92 runs batted in this season.
  • Michael Harris II has 121 hits and an OBP of .344 to go with a slugging percentage of .531 this season.
  • Harris II heads into this game on a five-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is batting .364 with a double, a triple, a home run, two walks and five RBI.

Where To Watch Mets vs. Braves

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