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Duke vs. Arkansas – NCAA Tournament Elite Eight – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The No. 2 seed Duke Blue Devils (31-6) are 4-point favorites to advance to the Final Four when they play the No. 4 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (28-8) in the NCAA Tournament Elite Eight on Saturday at Chase Center, airing on TBS starting at 8:49 PM.

Duke vs. Arkansas Predictions

Duke vs. Arkansas Betting Odds

Duke vs Arkansas Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total
Duke -4 146.5 points

Duke vs. Arkansas Last 10 Games

  • Duke covered the spread four times in its past 10 contests while putting up a 8-2 record straight-up in those games.
  • Duke and its opponents have hit the over in nine of those 10 games.
  • The past 10 Blue Devils games averaged two fewer points (144.5) than this matchup’s over/under.
  • Across their last 10 games, the Blue Devils have scored 1.4 more points per contest compared to their season-long scoring average.
  • Arkansas covered the spread four times in its last 10 matchups while putting up a 7-3 record straight-up in those games.
  • Arkansas’ last 10 contests saw six hit the over.
  • The past 10 Razorbacks games averaged 3.6 fewer points (142.9) than this matchup’s point total.
  • In the last 10 games, the Razorbacks are scoring 68.7 points per game compared to their 76.1 season average.

Duke vs. Arkansas Betting Trends

  • Duke has put together a 21-17-1 record against the spread this season.
  • In games they were favored in by 4 points or more so far this season, the Blue Devils went 17-16-1 against the spread.
  • Duke’s games have gone over the total 23 times out of 39 chances this season.
  • The 80.2 points per game the Blue Devils average are 12.2 more points than the Razorbacks give up (68).
  • Duke has a 17-8-1 record against the spread and a 23-3 record overall when scoring more than 68 points.
  • Arkansas has put together a 22-17-0 record against the spread this season.
  • In games this season when an underdog by 4 points or more, the Razorbacks have gone 5-1 against the spread.
  • Arkansas games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 22 times out of 39 chances this year.
  • The Razorbacks score 8.7 more points per game (76.1) than the Blue Devils give up to opponents (67.4).
  • When it scores more than 67.4 points, Arkansas is 14-11 against the spread and 20-5 overall.

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Duke vs. Arkansas Over/Under Trends

  • This season, Duke games have gone over this matchup’s 146.5-point over/under 20 times.
  • This season, 17 games Arkansas played finished with a combined score over 146.5 points.
  • The Blue Devils average 80.2 points per game against the Razorbacks’ 76.1, amounting to 9.8 points over the matchup’s point total of 146.5.
  • The 135.4 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 11.1 fewer than the 146.5 over/under in this contest.
  • On average, the over/under in Blue Devils games is 1.1 points fewer than the over/under of 146.5 points in this contest.
  • A difference of 1.4 points separates this contest’s over/under (146.5 points) and the average total points bet in Razorbacks’ games (145.1 points) this season.

Duke Team Leaders

  • Paolo Banchero: 17.2 PTS, 7.8 REB, 1.1 STL, 48 FG%, 33.1 3PT% (41-for-124)
  • Wendell Moore: 13.5 PTS, 1.3 STL, 50.9 FG%, 41.1 3PT% (51-for-124)
  • Mark Williams: 11.3 PTS, 7.4 REB, 2.9 BLK, 71.3 FG%
  • Trevor Keels: 11.3 PTS, 1.2 STL, 41.2 FG%, 31.5 3PT% (51-for-162)
  • AJ Griffin: 10.3 PTS, 49.3 FG%, 45.4 3PT% (69-for-152)

Arkansas Team Leaders

  • JD Notae: 18.5 PTS, 2.3 STL, 39.7 FG%, 29.5 3PT% (72-for-244)
  • Jaylin Williams: 10.7 PTS, 9.8 REB, 1.3 STL, 1.1 BLK, 46 FG%, 24.6 3PT% (17-for-69)
  • Stanley Umude: 11.8 PTS, 45.9 FG%, 37.2 3PT% (51-for-137)
  • Au’Diese Toney: 10.7 PTS, 52.8 FG%, 30 3PT% (9-for-30)
  • Davonte Davis: 8.3 PTS, 42.5 FG%, 26.4 3PT% (19-for-72)

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