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Villanova vs. Michigan – NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The No. 2 seed Villanova Wildcats (28-7) and the No. 11 seed Michigan Wolverines (19-14) square off in the NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 with a ticket to the Elite Eight of the South Regional Region bracket on the line on Thursday at AT&T Center, tipping off at 7:29 PM. Villanova is a 4.5-point favorite in the matchup.

Villanova vs. Michigan Predictions

Villanova vs. Michigan Betting Odds

Villanova vs Michigan Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total
Villanova -4.5 135.5 points

Villanova vs. Michigan Last 10 Games

  • Villanova is 10-0 overall and 6-4-0 against the spread over its past 10 games.
  • The final score of the last 10 Villanova games has exceeded the set total three times.
  • The past 10 Wildcats games averaged 2.1 fewer points (133.4) than this matchup’s point total.
  • The Wildcats’ per-game scoring average across their past 10 games is 5.2 points lower than their season-long average.
  • Michigan has a 6-4 record straight-up in its past 10 matchups, while covering the spread six times in those games.
  • Michigan’s past 10 outings saw eight hit the over.
  • The Wolverines’ past 10 outings have ended with an average of 140.3 points scored. That’s 4.8 more points than this contest’s over/under.
  • Across their past 10 games, the Wolverines have scored 1.6 more points per contest compared to their 73.2 PPG season-long scoring average.

Villanova vs. Michigan Betting Trends

  • Villanova has registered a 19-16-2 record against the spread this season.
  • The Wildcats have an ATS record of 13-13-1 when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
  • This season, 17 of Villanova’s games have gone over the point total out of 37 chances.
  • The Wildcats score only 3.2 more points per game (72.8) than the Wolverines give up (69.6).
  • When Villanova puts up more than 69.6 points, it is 11-10-1 against the spread and 20-3 overall.
  • Michigan is 16-17-0 against the spread this season.
  • In games they have played as 4.5-point underdogs or more, the Wolverines have an ATS record of 5-1.
  • This year, 20 of Michigan’s games have gone over the point total.
  • The Wolverines put up an average of 73.2 points per game, 10.3 more points than the 62.9 the Wildcats allow to opponents.
  • When it scores more than 62.9 points, Michigan is 13-11 against the spread and 16-9 overall.

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Villanova vs. Michigan Over/Under Trends

  • This season, Villanova games have gone over this matchup’s 135.5-point total 17 times.
  • In Michigan’s 33 games this season, 23 have finished with more combined scoring than Thursday’s over/under of 135.5.
  • The Wildcats average 72.8 points per game against the Wolverines’ 73.2, totaling 10.5 points over the game’s over/under of 135.5.
  • These two teams surrender a combined 132.5 points per game, three points less than this contest’s over/under.
  • On average, the Wildcats have seen a 136 over/under in their games this season, 0.5 more points than the over/under in this contest.
  • A difference of 4.7 points separates the average total points bet in Wolverines’ games (140.2 points) and this matchup’s over/under (135.5 points).

Villanova Team Leaders

  • Collin Gillespie: 16 PTS, 44 FG%, 41.6 3PT% (104-for-250)
  • Justin Moore: 15 PTS, 40.2 FG%, 35.2 3PT% (75-for-213)
  • Jermaine Samuels: 10.7 PTS, 46.3 FG%, 26.8 3PT% (26-for-97)
  • Eric Dixon: 9.3 PTS, 51 FG%, 51.6 3PT% (16-for-31)
  • Brandon Slater: 8.7 PTS, 1.1 STL, 50.2 FG%, 34.1 3PT% (30-for-88)

Michigan Team Leaders

  • Hunter Dickinson: 18.7 PTS, 8.4 REB, 1.5 BLK, 57.1 FG%, 33.3 3PT% (21-for-63)
  • Eli Brooks: 12.8 PTS, 1.2 STL, 44.7 FG%, 38.7 3PT% (53-for-137)
  • DeVante Jones: 10.4 PTS, 46.2 FG%, 33.8 3PT% (26-for-77)
  • Caleb: 10.2 PTS, 38.5 FG%, 36 3PT% (59-for-164)
  • Moussa Diabate: 9.1 PTS, 54.5 FG%, 21.4 3PT% (3-for-14)

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