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Virginia vs. Mississippi State – College Basketball – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The Virginia Cavaliers (19-13) take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (18-15) as just 2-point favorites on Wednesday, March 16, 2022 at 7:00 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 123.5 points.

Virginia vs. Mississippi State Predictions

Virginia vs. Mississippi State Betting Odds

Virginia vs Mississippi State Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total
Virginia -2 123.5 points

Virginia vs. Mississippi State Last 10 Games

  • Virginia is 5-5 overall and 6-4-0 against the spread over its last 10 games.
  • The final score of the last 10 Virginia games has exceeded the set total five times.
  • The past 10 Cavaliers games averaged 1.9 more points (125.4) than this matchup’s point total.
  • The Cavaliers’ per-game scoring average across their past 10 games is 0.7 points lower than their season-long average.
  • Mississippi State has a 5-5 record straight-up in its past 10 contests, while covering the spread four times in those games.
  • The final scores of the last 10 Mississippi State games have gone over the set total three times.
  • The Bulldogs’ last 10 outings have ended with an average of 137.1 points scored. That’s 13.6 more points than this contest’s over/under.
  • The Bulldogs’ per-game scoring average across their past 10 games is 66.0, 4.9 points lower than their season-long per-game average.

Virginia vs. Mississippi State Betting Trends

  • Virginia is 16-16-0 against the spread this season.
  • In games they were favored in by 2 points or more so far this season, the Cavaliers have gone 9-9 against the spread.
  • This season, 16 of Virginia’s games have gone over the point total out of 33 chances.
  • The 62.6 points per game the Cavaliers score are the same as the Bulldogs give up.
  • Virginia has a 9-2 record against the spread and a 10-1 record overall when putting up more than 66.4 points.
  • Mississippi State has covered the spread in a matchup 16 times this year (16-17-0).
  • In games they have played as 2-point underdogs or more, the Bulldogs have an ATS record of 3-6.
  • Mississippi State games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 16 times this year.
  • The Bulldogs’ 70.9 points per game are 10.7 more points than the 60.2 the Cavaliers give up to opponents.
  • Mississippi State has put together a 15-11 ATS record and a 16-10 overall record in games it scores more than 60.2 points.

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Virginia vs. Mississippi State Over/Under Trends

  • Virginia and its opponents have hit the over on this game’s total (123.5 points) 16 times this season.
  • This season, 28 games Mississippi State played finished with a combined score higher than 123.5 points.
  • The over/under for the matchup of 123.5 is 10.0 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Cavaliers (62.6 points per game) and the Bulldogs (70.9 points per game).
  • These two teams give up a combined 126.6 points per game, 3.1 more than this contest’s over/under.
  • The Cavaliers have seen a 124.4 average over/under in their games this season, 0.9 points more than the over/under in this contest.
  • Bulldogs’ games have a total points bet of 137.8 points this season, 14.3 points more than the over/under for this game.

Virginia Team Leaders

  • Jayden Gardner: 15.3 PTS, 50.5 FG%, 23.1 3PT% (3-for-13)
  • Reece Beekman: 7.9 PTS, 5 AST, 2.1 STL, 43.2 FG%, 33.9 3PT% (21-for-62)
  • Kihei Clark: 10.3 PTS, 39.9 FG%, 36.4 3PT% (52-for-143)
  • Kadin Shedrick: 7.2 PTS, 2 BLK, 64.7 FG%
  • Armaan Franklin: 10.9 PTS, 1.1 STL, 38.8 FG%, 26.3 3PT% (41-for-156)

Mississippi State Team Leaders

  • Iverson Molinar: 17.6 PTS, 1.2 STL, 45.2 FG%, 25.5 3PT% (27-for-106)
  • Garrison Brooks: 10.3 PTS, 45.8 FG%, 33.3 3PT% (23-for-69)
  • D.J. Jeffries: 9.2 PTS, 42.6 FG%, 29.3 3PT% (29-for-99)
  • Shakeel Moore: 8.8 PTS, 1.6 STL, 39.8 FG%, 32.4 3PT% (44-for-136)
  • Tolu Smith: 14.1 PTS, 57.1 FG%

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