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Baylor vs. Norfolk State – NCAA Tournament First Round – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

An opening-round NCAA Tournament matchup will see the 16th-seeded Norfolk State Spartans (24-6) take the court as 20.5-point underdogs against the No. 1 seed Baylor Bears (26-6) on Thursday at Dickies Arena. The contest tips off at 2:00 PM. Here’s what you need to know when filling out your brackets for this 1-16 matchup.

Baylor vs. Norfolk State Predictions

Baylor vs. Norfolk State Betting Odds

Baylor vs Norfolk State Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total
Baylor -20.5 138 points

Baylor vs. Norfolk State Last 10 Games

  • Baylor has a 8-2 record straight-up in its past 10 contests, while covering the spread four times in those games.
  • Baylor’s last 10 games saw five go over the total.
  • The last 10 Bears games averaged 137.4 total points, 0.6 fewer points than this matchup’s point total.
  • Over their past 10 games, the Bears have a points-per-game average 5.0 points below their season-long scoring average.
  • Norfolk State has a 9-1 record straight-up in its last 10 contests, while covering the spread five times in those games.
  • The final scores of the last 10 Norfolk State games have gone over the set total four times.
  • The Spartans’ last 10 outings have ended with an average of 139.9 points scored. That’s 1.9 more points than this contest’s over/under.
  • During their last 10 games, the Spartans have a 74.1 points-per-game average, 1.0 point below their season-long scoring average.

Baylor vs. Norfolk State Betting Trends

  • Baylor has covered the spread 17 times this season (17-15-0).
  • In games they have played as 20.5-point favorites or more, the Bears have an ATS record of 4-2.
  • This season, Baylor’s games have hit the over 18 times.
  • The 76.5 points per game the Bears average are 12.8 more points than the Spartans give up (63.7).
  • Baylor has a 15-11 record against the spread and a 25-2 record overall when putting up more than 63.7 points.
  • Norfolk State is 19-9-0 against the spread this year.
  • This season, 11 of Norfolk State’s games have gone over the point total out of 29 chances.
  • The Spartans put up an average of 75.1 points per game, 11.5 more points than the 63.6 the Bears give up.
  • Norfolk State is 14-4 against the spread and 20-2 overall when it scores more than 63.6 points.

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Baylor vs. Norfolk State Over/Under Trends

  • Baylor and its opponents have combined to outscore Thursday’s over/under of 138 points 20 times this season.
  • This season, 11 of Norfolk State’s games have ended with a score higher than 138 points.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 151.6 points per game, 13.6 points more than the point total of 138 for this matchup.
  • This game’s total is 10.7 fewer points than the 127.3 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2020.
  • The Bears have seen a 138.6 average over/under in their games this season, 0.6 points more than the over/under in this contest.
  • Spartans’ games have a total points bet of 141.6 points this season, 3.6 points more than the over/under for this game.

Baylor Team Leaders

  • James Akinjo: 13.4 PTS, 5.7 AST, 2.1 STL, 38.9 FG%, 29.9 3PT% (38-for-127)
  • Kendall Brown: 10 PTS, 59.5 FG%, 38.9 3PT% (14-for-36)
  • Matthew Mayer: 9.4 PTS, 1.2 STL, 39.9 FG%, 30.6 3PT% (38-for-124)
  • Adam Flagler: 13.4 PTS, 1.1 STL, 43.8 FG%, 39.3 3PT% (70-for-178)
  • Jeremy Sochan: 8.8 PTS, 1.3 STL, 47.9 FG%, 29.2 3PT% (21-for-72)

Norfolk State Team Leaders

  • Joe Bryant Jr.: 16.8 PTS, 1.4 STL, 43.6 FG%, 34.4 3PT% (55-for-160)
  • Kris Bankston: 11.4 PTS, 1.2 BLK, 71.4 FG%
  • Jalen Hawkins: 13.4 PTS, 1.3 STL, 46.1 FG%, 35.8 3PT% (39-for-109)
  • Dana Tate: 9.9 PTS, 46.7 FG%, 44 3PT% (37-for-84)
  • Tyrese: 6.6 PTS, 42.8 FG%, 31.6 3PT% (31-for-98)

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