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Purdue vs. Michigan State – Big Ten Tournament – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The No. 3 seed Purdue Boilermakers (26-6, 14-6 Big Ten) are 6-point favorites in the Big Ten Tournament against the No. 7 seed Michigan State Spartans (22-11, 11-9 Big Ten) on Saturday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The game tips at 3:25 PM, with the winner moving one step closer to securing a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket.

Purdue vs. Michigan State Predictions

Purdue vs. Michigan State Betting Odds

Purdue vs Michigan State Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total
Purdue -6 143.5 points

Purdue vs. Michigan State Last 10 Games

  • Purdue is 2-7-1 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its last 10 games.
  • Twice in those 10 games, the final combined score has surpassed the set total.
  • The past 10 Boilermakers games averaged 0.7 more points (144.2) than this matchup’s over/under.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Boilermakers have scored 10.9 fewer points per contest compared to their season-long scoring average.
  • Michigan State has a 5-5 record straight-up in its past 10 contests, while covering the spread four times in those games.
  • The final scores of the past 10 Michigan State games have surpassed the set total six times.
  • The last 10 Spartans games averaged 141.1 total points, 2.4 fewer points than this matchup’s point total.
  • In the last 10 games, the Spartans are scoring 69 points per game compared to their 72.2 season average.

Purdue vs. Michigan State Betting Trends

  • Purdue has registered a 14-16-1 record against the spread this season.
  • In games they have played as 6-point favorites or more, the Boilermakers have an ATS record of 10-12-1.
  • Games involving Purdue have hit the over 16 times out of 31 chances this season.
  • The Boilermakers score 12.2 more points per game (80.4) than the Spartans give up (68.2).
  • When Purdue puts up more than 68.2 points, it is 12-10-1 against the spread and 24-1 overall.
  • Michigan State is 17-15-0 against the spread this year.
  • The Spartans are winless against the spread when they are 6-point underdogs or more (0-2).
  • This season, Michigan State’s games have hit the over 17 times out of 32 chances.
  • The Spartans put up an average of 72.2 points per game, only 3.7 more points than the 68.5 the Boilermakers allow to opponents.
  • When it scores more than 68.5 points, Michigan State is 12-8 against the spread and 16-4 overall.

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Purdue vs. Michigan State Over/Under Trends

  • Purdue and its opponents have hit the over on this game’s total (143.5 points) 16 times this season.
  • In Michigan State’s 32 games this season, 14 have finished with more combined scoring than Saturday’s total of 143.5.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 152.6 points per game, 9.1 points more than the total of 143.5 for this game.
  • These two teams give up a combined 136.7 points per game, 6.8 points less than this contest’s over/under.
  • On average, the Boilermakers have seen a 145.2 over/under in their games this season, 1.7 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
  • Spartans games have an over/under of 139.8 points this season, 3.7 points fewer than the total points bet for this matchup.

Purdue Team Leaders

  • Jaden Ivey: 17.2 PTS, 46 FG%, 36.7 3PT% (55-for-150)
  • Zach Edey: 14.8 PTS, 7.5 REB, 1.3 BLK, 66.2 FG%
  • Trevion Williams: 11.5 PTS, 7.3 REB, 54.8 FG%, 41.7 3PT% (5-for-12)
  • Sasha Stefanovic: 11.1 PTS, 40.7 FG%, 39.7 3PT% (79-for-199)
  • Mason Gillis: 6.5 PTS, 52.1 FG%, 44.2 3PT% (34-for-77)

Michigan State Team Leaders

  • Marcus Bingham: 9.2 PTS, 2.2 BLK, 55.1 FG%, 42.4 3PT% (14-for-33)
  • Gabe Brown: 11.3 PTS, 41.7 FG%, 36.8 3PT% (63-for-171)
  • Tyson Walker: 8.4 PTS, 42.7 FG%, 50 3PT% (33-for-66)
  • Malik Hall: 9.4 PTS, 52.3 FG%, 44.4 3PT% (28-for-63)
  • A.J Hoggard: 6.5 PTS, 42.8 FG%, 25 3PT% (7-for-28)

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