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Dayton vs. UMass – A-10 Tournament – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The No. 2 seed Dayton Flyers (22-9, 14-4 A-10) are favored by 9.5 points when they square off the No. 10 seed UMass Minutemen (15-16, 7-11 A-10) in the A-10 Tournament Friday at Capital One Arena, tipping off at 6:00 PM. A guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket is on the line as these teams look to claim the A-10 championship.

Dayton vs. UMass Predictions

Dayton vs. UMass Betting Odds

Dayton vs UMass Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total
Dayton -9.5 144 points

Dayton vs. UMass Last 10 Games

  • Dayton is 8-2 overall and 8-2-0 against the spread over its past 10 games.
  • The final score of the past 10 Dayton games has surpassed the set total seven times.
  • The last 10 Flyers games averaged 130.7 total points, 13.3 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • In their last 10 games, the Flyers have a points-per-game average 2.3 points above their season-long scoring average.
  • UMass has a 5-5 record straight-up in its last 10 contests, while covering the spread three times in those games.
  • UMass’ last 10 contests saw seven hit the over.
  • The Minutemen’s past 10 games have ended with an average of 146 points scored. That’s two more points than this contest’s over/under.
  • In their past 10 games, the Minutemen have a 74.7 points-per-game average, 1.1 points below their season-long scoring average.

Dayton vs. UMass Betting Trends

  • Dayton has put together a record of 18-13-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Flyers are 5-7 ATS when playing as at least 9.5-point favorites.
  • Dayton games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 15 times this season.
  • The 69.1 points per game the Flyers score are 9.1 fewer points than the Minutemen allow (78.2).
  • Dayton has a 7-1 record against the spread and a 7-1 record overall when scoring more than 78.2 points.
  • UMass has covered the spread 13 times this year (13-16-1).
  • The Minutemen have an ATS record of 2-2 when playing as at least 9.5-point underdogs.
  • Games involving UMass have hit the over 21 times out of 30 chances this year.
  • The Minutemen’s 75.8 points per game are 15.2 more points than the 60.6 the Flyers allow to opponents.
  • UMass has put together a 12-13-1 ATS record and a 14-14 overall record in games it scores more than 60.6 points.

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Dayton vs. UMass Over/Under Trends

  • Dayton and its opponents have hit the over on this game’s total (144 points) six times this season.
  • This season, 23 games UMass played finished with a combined score higher than 144 points.
  • The Flyers average 69.1 points per game against the Minutemen’s 75.8, totaling 0.9 points over the contest’s over/under of 144.
  • The 138.8 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 5.2 fewer than the 144 total in this contest.
  • The Flyers have seen a 132.3 average over/under in their games this season, 11.7 points fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
  • A difference of 1.5 points separates the average total points bet in Minutemen’s games (145.5 points) and this contest’s over/under (144 points).

Dayton Team Leaders

  • Daron Holmes: 11.8 PTS, 2.2 BLK, 63.9 FG%
  • Malachi Smith: 9.1 PTS, 5.4 AST, 1.6 STL, 39.4 FG%, 37.8 3PT% (17-for-45)
  • Toumani Camara: 10.7 PTS, 51.4 FG%, 34.5 3PT% (19-for-55)
  • Kobe Elvis: 8.8 PTS, 46.1 FG%, 38.3 3PT% (36-for-94)
  • Koby Brea: 8 PTS, 44.5 FG%, 42.9 3PT% (54-for-126)

UMass Team Leaders

  • Noah Fernandes: 14.5 PTS, 5.3 AST, 1.4 STL, 43.1 FG%, 36.7 3PT% (44-for-120)
  • Trent Buttrick: 10.8 PTS, 44 FG%, 37.4 3PT% (49-for-131)
  • Rich Kelly: 12.7 PTS, 46.2 FG%, 46 3PT% (64-for-139)
  • T.J. Weeks: 9.6 PTS, 41.9 FG%, 37 3PT% (47-for-127)
  • CJ Kelly: 10.4 PTS, 40 FG%, 36 3PT% (45-for-125)

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