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Arkansas vs. Mississippi State – College Basketball – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The Arkansas Razorbacks (17-5, 6-3 SEC) host the Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-7, 5-3 SEC) after winning four straight home games. The Razorbacks are favored by 5.5 points in the contest, which tips at 8:30 PM ET on Saturday, February 5, 2022. The matchup’s over/under is set at 145.5.

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Predictions

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Betting Odds

Arkansas vs Mississippi State Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total
Arkansas -5.5 145.5 points

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Last 10 Games

  • Arkansas covered the spread six times in its last 10 matchups while putting up a 7-3 record straight-up in those games.
  • The final score of the last 10 Arkansas games has surpassed the set total six times.
  • The past 10 Razorbacks games averaged 0.2 more points (145.7) than this matchup’s point total.
  • The Razorbacks’ per-game scoring average across their past 10 games is 2.7 points lower than their season-long average.
  • Mississippi State has a 6-4 record straight-up in its last 10 contests, while covering the spread seven times in those games.
  • The final scores of the last 10 Mississippi State games have gone over the set total nine times.
  • The last 10 Bulldogs games averaged 139.0 total points, 6.5 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • Over their past 10 games, the Bulldogs have scored 1.2 more points per contest compared to their 74.3 PPG season-long scoring average.

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Betting Trends

  • Arkansas has covered the spread 12 times over 22 games with a set spread.
  • In games they were favored in by 5.5 points or more so far this season, the Razorbacks have gone 9-7 against the spread.
  • Arkansas’ games have gone over the total 13 times this season.
  • The 79.3 points per game the Razorbacks record are 12.8 more points than the Bulldogs allow (66.5).
  • Arkansas is 10-9 against the spread and 15-4 overall when scoring more than 66.5 points.
  • Mississippi State has covered the spread 12 times in 21 games with a set spread.
  • The Bulldogs are 1-1 ATS when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.
  • This year, 13 of Mississippi State’s games have gone over the point total.
  • The Bulldogs score an average of 74.3 points per game, 5.8 more points than the 68.5 the Razorbacks give up to opponents.
  • When it scores more than 68.5 points, Mississippi State is 11-6 against the spread and 13-4 overall.

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Over/Under Trends

  • Arkansas and its opponents have combined to exceed Saturday’s over/under of 145.5 points 12 times this season.
  • This season, nine of Mississippi State’s games have ended with a score higher than 145.5 points.
  • The Razorbacks average 79.3 points per game against the Bulldogs’ 74.3, amounting to 8.1 points over the matchup’s over/under of 145.5.
  • These two teams give up a combined 135 points per game, 10.5 points less than this contest’s over/under.
  • The Razorbacks have seen a 146.3 average over/under in their games this season, 0.8 points more than the over/under in this contest.
  • The over/under for this contest is 7.6 points more than the average over/under in Bulldogs’ games this season (137.9 points).

Arkansas Team Leaders

  • JD Notae: 19.0 PTS, 2.4 STL, 43.5 FG%, 31.6 3PT% (48-for-152)
  • Jaylin Williams: 9.4 PTS, 9.1 REB, 1.5 STL, 1.3 BLK, 51.0 FG%, 30.0 3PT% (9-for-30)
  • Stanley Umude: 10.9 PTS, 46.9 FG%, 35.0 3PT% (21-for-60)
  • Au’Diese Toney: 11.0 PTS, 58.9 FG%, 40.0 3PT% (6-for-15)
  • Davonte Davis: 8.8 PTS, 42.2 FG%, 23.3 3PT% (10-for-43)

Mississippi State Team Leaders

  • Iverson Molinar: 18.1 PTS, 1.2 STL, 49.8 FG%, 28.0 3PT% (21-for-75)
  • Garrison Brooks: 11.3 PTS, 48.0 FG%, 33.3 3PT% (15-for-45)
  • Shakeel Moore: 10.3 PTS, 1.8 STL, 42.3 FG%, 37.0 3PT% (34-for-92)
  • D.J. Jeffries: 9.9 PTS, 41.8 FG%, 32.9 3PT% (23-for-70)
  • Cameron Matthews: 3.8 PTS, 1.7 STL, 61.7 FG%, 44.4 3PT% (4-for-9)

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