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Mississippi State vs. Alabama – College Basketball – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (11-4, 2-1 SEC) are just 1.5-point favorites as they look to extend a five-game home winning streak when they take on the No. 24 Alabama Crimson Tide (11-5, 2-2 SEC) on Saturday, January 15, 2022 at Humphrey Coliseum. The matchup airs at 6:00 PM ET. The over/under is 152.5 for the matchup.

Mississippi State vs. Alabama Predictions

Mississippi State vs. Alabama Betting Odds

Mississippi State vs Alabama Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total
Mississippi State -1.5 152.5 points

Mississippi State vs. Alabama Last 10 Games

  • Mississippi State has a 6-4 record straight-up in its past 10 contests, while covering the spread six times in those games.
  • The final score of the last 10 Mississippi State games has exceeded the set total seven times.
  • The Bulldogs’ last 10 games have ended with an average of 137.8 points scored. That’s 14.7 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
  • The Bulldogs’ per-game scoring average during their last 10 games is 1.5 points higher than their season-long average.
  • Alabama covered the spread twice in its past 10 contests while putting up a 6-4 record straight-up in those games.
  • Alabama and its opponents have hit the over in eight of the past 10 games.
  • The last 10 Crimson Tide games averaged 151.9 total points, 0.6 fewer points than this matchup’s point total.
  • The Crimson Tide’s per-game scoring average over their past 10 games is 81.0, 1.1 points lower than their season-long per-game average.

Mississippi State vs. Alabama Betting Trends

  • Mississippi State has registered a 9-6-0 record against the spread this season.
  • In games this season when favored by 1.5 points or more, the Bulldogs have gone 8-6 against the spread.
  • Mississippi State games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under eight times this season.
  • The Bulldogs put up just 1.0 more point per game (75.4) than the Crimson Tide give up (74.4).
  • When Mississippi State scores more than 74.4 points, it is 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 overall.
  • Alabama has covered the spread six times this season (6-10-0).
  • The Crimson Tide have an ATS record of 1-1 when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.
  • Alabama’s games have gone over the total 11 times out of 17 chances this year.
  • The Crimson Tide’s 82.1 points per game are 18.2 more points than the 63.9 the Bulldogs allow to opponents.
  • Alabama is 6-9 against the spread and 11-5 overall when it scores more than 63.9 points.

Mississippi State vs. Alabama Over/Under Trends

  • This season, four of Mississippi State’s 15 games have gone over Saturday’s over/under of 152.5 points.
  • This season, 10 games Alabama played finished with a combined score higher than 152.5 points.
  • The Bulldogs average 75.4 points per game against the Crimson Tide’s 82.1, amounting to 5.0 points over the game’s over/under of 152.5.
  • These two teams give up a combined 138.3 points per game, 14.2 points less than this contest’s over/under.
  • On average, the over/under in Bulldogs games is 15.3 points fewer than the over/under of 152.5 points in this matchup.
  • Crimson Tide games have an over/under of 152.4 points this season, 0.1 points fewer than the total points bet for this matchup.

Mississippi State Team Leaders

  • Iverson Molinar: 17.5 PTS, 47.6 FG%, 29.5 3PT% (18-for-61)
  • Shakeel Moore: 10.5 PTS, 2.1 STL, 43.7 FG%, 37.7 3PT% (26-for-69)
  • Garrison Brooks: 10.8 PTS, 46.4 FG%, 34.3 3PT% (12-for-35)
  • D.J. Jeffries: 10.7 PTS, 42.1 FG%, 32.7 3PT% (18-for-55)
  • Cameron Matthews: 4.1 PTS, 1.6 STL, 71.9 FG%, 50.0 3PT% (3-for-6)

Alabama Team Leaders

  • Keon Ellis: 12.1 PTS, 1.9 STL, 45.1 FG%, 34.1 3PT% (30-for-88)
  • Jahvon Quinerly: 15.4 PTS, 42.6 FG%, 25.3 3PT% (24-for-95)
  • Jaden Shackelford: 16.1 PTS, 40.5 FG%, 38.3 3PT% (51-for-133)
  • JD Davison: 8.3 PTS, 49.5 FG%, 29.4 3PT% (10-for-34)
  • Charles Bediako: 6.8 PTS, 1.8 BLK, 64.7 FG%

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