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Missouri State vs. Valparaiso – College Basketball – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The Valparaiso Beacons (8-9, 1-4 MVC) are underdogs (+4) as they attempt to end a three-game losing streak when they host the Missouri State Bears (12-6, 3-2 MVC) at 5:00 PM ET on Saturday, January 15, 2022 at Athletics-Recreation Center. The matchup has an over/under set at 138.5 points.

Missouri State vs. Valparaiso Predictions

Missouri State vs. Valparaiso Betting Odds

Missouri State vs Valparaiso Betting Information
Favorite Spread Total
Missouri State -4 138.5 points

Missouri State vs. Valparaiso Last 10 Games

  • Missouri State has a 8-2 record straight-up in its past 10 contests, while covering the spread eight times in those games.
  • Missouri State’s last 10 contests saw six hit the over.
  • The Bears’ last 10 games have ended with an average of 141 points scored. That’s 2.5 more points than this contest’s over/under.
  • Over the past 10 games, the Bears are scoring 3.5 points less per game compared to their season average.
  • Valparaiso is 5-5 overall and 6-3-1 against the spread in its last 10 games.
  • Valparaiso’s last 10 outings saw six hit the over.
  • The Beacons’ last 10 outings have ended with an average of 134.4 points scored. That’s 4.1 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
  • The Beacons’ per-game scoring average during their past 10 games is 70.7, 2.5 points lower than their season-long per-game average.

Missouri State vs. Valparaiso Betting Trends

  • Missouri State has covered the spread 12 times this season (12-7-0).
  • In games they have played as 4-point favorites or more, the Bears have an ATS record of 8-6.
  • Games involving Missouri State have hit the over 12 times out of 20 chances this season.
  • The Bears record 9.7 more points per game (78.9) than the Beacons allow (69.2).
  • When Missouri State scores more than 69.2 points, it is 7-6 against the spread and 10-4 overall.
  • Valparaiso has covered the spread eight times in 14 games with a set spread.
  • In games this year when an underdog by 4 points or more, the Beacons have gone 5-1-1 against the spread.
  • This season, nine of Valparaiso’s games have gone over the point total out of 14 chances.
  • The Beacons’ 73.2 points per game are only 4.9 more points than the 68.3 the Bears give up to opponents.
  • Valparaiso has put together a 4-2 ATS record and a 6-2 overall record in games it scores more than 68.3 points.

Missouri State vs. Valparaiso Over/Under Trends

  • This season, 11 of Missouri State’s 20 games have gone over Saturday’s over/under of 138.5 points.
  • This season, seven games Valparaiso played finished with a combined score over 138.5 points.
  • The Bears average 78.9 points per game against the Beacons’ 73.2, amounting to 13.6 points over the game’s point total of 138.5.
  • This matchup’s total is one fewer point than the 137.5 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2020.
  • On average, the Bears have seen a 142.7 over/under in their games this season, 4.2 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
  • Beacons games have an over/under of 134.2 points this season, 4.3 points fewer than the total points bet for this contest.

Missouri State Team Leaders

  • Gaige Prim: 13.9 PTS, 8.1 REB, 1.2 BLK, 58.9 FG%, 30 3PT% (3-for-10)
  • Isiaih Mosley: 19.3 PTS, 1.1 STL, 50 FG%, 44.9 3PT% (40-for-89)
  • Donovan Clay: 8.1 PTS, 50.9 FG%, 30.8 3PT% (8-for-26)
  • Ja’Monta Black: 10.5 PTS, 43.4 FG%, 40.5 3PT% (49-for-121)
  • Jaylen Minnett: 10.8 PTS, 1.1 STL, 45.9 FG%, 46 3PT% (46-for-100)

Valparaiso Team Leaders

  • Sheldon Edwards: 12 PTS, 1.4 STL, 1.1 BLK, 40.4 FG%, 33.6 3PT% (36-for-107)
  • Thomas Kithier: 9.4 PTS, 60 FG%
  • Ben Krikke: 14.1 PTS, 55.5 FG%, 15.4 3PT% (2-for-13)
  • Trevor Anderson: 9.7 PTS, 47.8 FG%, 34.6 3PT% (18-for-52)
  • Kevion Taylor: 10.8 PTS, 44.9 FG%, 41.9 3PT% (39-for-93)

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