In this year’s Fenway Bowl, the SMU Mustangs are underdogs, but by less than a field goal (+2.5), against the Virginia Cavaliers. Fenway Park in East Boston, Massachusetts will host the matchup on December 29, 2021, starting at 11:00 AM ET. The over/under is set at 71.5 in the contest.
Virginia vs. SMU Predictions
Virginia vs. SMU Odds
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Virginia vs. SMU: Last 3 Games
- Virginia has one win against the spread, and is 0-3 overall, in its past three games.
- In its past three games, Virginia has gone over the total twice.
- The Cavaliers and their opponents have combined to score an average of 65.8 points in their last three games, 5.7 less than the 71.5 over/under in this matchup.
- SMU has one win against the spread, and is 1-2 overall, over its last three contests.
- In its past three games, SMU has hit the over twice.
- The Mustangs have averaged a total of 63.2 combined points over their last three games, 8.3 fewer than this game’s total of 71.5.
Virginia vs. SMU Betting Trends
- Virginia is 6-4-0 against the spread this season.
- In games this season when favored by 2.5 points or more, the Cavaliers have gone 3-2 against the spread.
- Games involving Virginia have hit the over five times out of 10 chances this season.
- The Cavaliers have won three of the five games they were the moneyline favorite this season (60%).
- Virginia has yet to play as a moneyline favorite of or shorter.
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Cavaliers’ implied win probability is 0.0%.
- SMU is 5-6-0 against the spread this year.
- In games they have played as 2.5-point underdogs or more, the Mustangs have an ATS record of 1-1.
- Games involving SMU have hit the over six times out of 11 chances this season.
- The Mustangs have split the two games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
- SMU is 4-4 this season when entering a game as the underdog by or more on the moneyline.
Virginia vs. SMU: Over/Under Trends
- Virginia and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday’s over/under (71.5 points) four times this season.
- There have been five SMU games that have finished with a combined score over 71.5 points this season.
- The point total for the contest of 71.5 is 1.5 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Cavaliers (34.6 points per game) and the Mustangs (38.4 points per game).
- The 60.2 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 11.3 fewer than the 71.5 total in this contest.
- This season the average total for Cavaliers games is 65.8 points, 5.7 fewer than the over/under of 71.5 points for this contest.
- Mustangs games have an over/under of 65.7 points this season, 5.8 points fewer than the total points bet for this contest.
Virginia Players to Watch
- Brennan Armstrong leads Virginia with 4,444 passing yards (370.3 ypg) on 327-of-501 passing with 31 touchdowns and 10 interceptions this season. He also has 256 rushing yards (21.3 ypg) on 97 carries while scoring nine touchdowns on the ground.
- Wayne Taulapapa’s team-high 324 rushing yards (27 per game) have come on 62 carries, with two touchdowns this year.
- Dontayvion Wicks’ team-high 1,203 receiving yards (100.3 yards per game) have come on 57 receptions with nine touchdowns.
- Keytaon Thompson has grabbed 77 passes for 973 yards (81.1 yards per game) and two touchdowns this year.
- Billy Kemp IV’s 75 receptions have netted him 742 yards (61.8 ypg) and six touchdowns.
SMU Players to Watch
- Tanner Mordecai has thrown for 3,628 yards (302.3 ypg) to lead SMU, completing 67.8% of his passes and recording 39 touchdown passes and 12 interceptions this season. He’s also contributed in the ground game with 202 rushing yards (16.8 ypg) on 74 carries with two rushing touchdowns.
- The team’s top rusher, Tre Siggers, has carried the ball 147 times for 727 yards (60.6 per game), with nine touchdowns this year.
- This season Ulysses Bentley IV has piled up 96 carries for 610 yards (50.8 per game) and four touchdowns.
- Danny Gray’s 803 receiving yards (66.9 yards per game) lead the team. He has 49 receptions with nine touchdowns.
- Rashee Rice has put together a 670-yard season so far (55.8 receiving yards per game) with nine touchdowns, hauling in 64 passes.
- Reggie Roberson Jr.’s 51 grabs have yielded 625 yards (52.1 ypg) and six touchdowns.
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