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Louisville vs. Air Force – College Football – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

In this year’s First Responder Bowl, the Louisville Cardinals are the favorites, but by less than a field goal (-1.5), over the Air Force Falcons. Gerald J. Ford Stadium in University Park, Texas will act as host on December 28, 2021, starting at 3:15 PM ET. The over/under for the contest is 55.5 points.

Louisville vs. Air Force Predictions

Louisville vs. Air Force Odds

Louisville vs Air Force Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Louisville -1.5 -111 -110 55.5 -108 -113

Louisville vs. Air Force: Last 3 Games

  • In its past three contests, Louisville has two wins against the spread, and is 2-1 overall.
  • In its past three contests, Louisville has gone over the total twice.
  • The Cardinals total over the last three games is 2.3 points more than the 55.5 over/under given for this matchup.
  • Air Force is unbeaten against the spread and 3-0 overall in its past three contests.
  • Air Force’s past three contests have gone over the total.
  • The Falcons and their opponents have combined to score an average of 49.7 combined points in their last three games, 5.8 less than the 55.5 over/under in this matchup.

Louisville vs. Air Force Betting Trends

  • Louisville is 6-5-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Cardinals have an ATS record of 3-3 when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
  • Louisville games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times out of 11 chances this season.
  • The Cardinals have won four of the six games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (66.7%).
  • Louisville has yet to play as a moneyline favorite of or shorter.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Cardinals have an implied win probability of 0.0%.
  • Air Force is 8-3-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Falcons are a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.
  • Air Force games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times out of 11 chances this season.
  • The Falcons won the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season.
  • This season, Air Force has won eight of its 11 games, or 72.7%, when they’re the underdog by at least on the moneyline.

Louisville vs. Air Force: Over/Under Trends

  • Louisville and its opponents have hit the over on this game’s total (55.5 points) five times this season.
  • In Air Force’s 11 games this season, four have finished with more combined scoring than Tuesday’s total of 55.5.
  • The over/under for the contest of 55.5 is 7.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Cardinals (31.9 points per game) and the Falcons (31 points per game).
  • These two teams give up a combined 46.1 points per game, 9.4 points less than this contest’s over/under.
  • This season, the average total for Cardinals games is 59.9 points, 4.4 more than the over/under of 55.5 points for this contest.
  • Falcons games have an over/under of 47 points this season, 8.5 points fewer than the total points bet for this contest.

Louisville Players to Watch

  • Micale Cunningham has been a dual threat to lead Louisville in both passing and rushing. He has 2,733 passing yards (227.8 ypg), completing 62% of his passes and recording 18 touchdown passes and six interceptions this season. He’s rushed for 968 yards (80.7 ypg) on 161 carries with 19 rushing touchdowns.
  • This season Jalen Mitchell has piled up 722 yards (60.2 per game) on 155 attempts with five touchdowns.
  • Jordan Watkins’ 531 receiving yards (44.3 yards per game) lead the team. He has 35 receptions with four touchdowns.
  • Marshon Ford has put up a 530-yard season so far (44.2 receiving yards per game) with two touchdowns, reeling in 47 passes.
  • Tyler Harrell’s 14 catches have yielded 443 yards (36.9 ypg) and five touchdowns.

Air Force Players to Watch

  • Haaziq Daniels has thrown for 932 yards (77.7 ypg) to lead Air Force, completing 45.7% of his passes and collecting five touchdown passes and three interceptions this season. He’s also run for 698 yards (58.2 ypg) on 139 carries with nine rushing touchdowns.
  • Brad Roberts has carried the ball 279 times for a team-high 1,279 yards (106.6 per game), with 13 touchdowns this year.
  • Brandon Lewis’ 447 receiving yards (37.3 yards per game) lead all receivers on the team. He’s registered 16 receptions and one touchdown.
  • Micah Davis has put up a 221-yard season so far (18.4 receiving yards per game) with two touchdowns, reeling in 10 passes.
  • Dane Kinamon’s seven catches this season have resulted in 101 yards (8.4 ypg) and two touchdowns.

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