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Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots – NFL – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The New England Patriots (8-4) are slight, 2.5-point underdogs as they aim to extend their six-game winning streak in a matchup with the Buffalo Bills (7-4) on Monday, December 6, 2021 at Highmark Stadium. The total for this matchup has been set at 41.5 points.

Bills vs. Patriots Predictions

Bills Vs. Patriots Odds

Bills vs Patriots Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Bills -2.5 -121 100 41.5 -110 -110 -142 +119

Bills and Patriots: Last Three Games

  • Buffalo is 2-1-0 against the spread and 2-1 overall in its last three matchups.
  • The final combined score of the past three Bills games has exceeded the set total two times.
  • The Bills’ past three games have ended with an average of 47.7 points scored. That’s 6.2 more points than this contest’s over/under.
  • New England covered the spread in its last three matchups while putting up a 3-0 record straight-up in those games.
  • In two of those three games, the final combined score has surpassed the set total.
  • The Patriots’ last three outings have ended with an average of 44.8 points scored. That’s 3.3 more points than this contest’s over/under.

Bills and Patriots: Betting Trends

  • Buffalo is 6-4-1 against the spread this season.
  • In games this season when favored by 2.5 points or more, the Bills have gone 5-4-1 against the spread.
  • This season, five of Buffalo’s games have gone over the point total.
  • The Bills have won 60% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (6-4).
  • Buffalo has gone 6-4 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -142 or shorter (60%).
  • The Bills have a 58.7% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • New England has covered the spread eight times in 12 games with a set spread.
  • The Patriots have an ATS record of 2-1 when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
  • This year, six of New England’s games have gone over the point total.
  • This season, the Patriots have won one out of the three games in which they’ve been the underdog.
  • New England is 1-2 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +119 or more on the moneyline.

Over/Under Trends

  • Buffalo and its opponents have hit the over on this game’s total (41.5 points) five times this season.
  • This season, six games New England played finished with a combined score over 41.5 points.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 57.6 points per game, 16.1 points more than the total of 41.5 for this contest.
  • These two teams give up a combined 32.3 points per game, 9.2 points less than this contest’s over/under.
  • On average, the Bills have seen a 49 over/under in their games this season, 7.5 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
  • Patriots’ games have a total points bet of 44.8 points this season, 3.3 points more than the over/under for this contest.

Bills Players to Watch

  • Josh Allen is the top fantasy player overall with 259.1 fantasy points (23.6 per game).
  • Stefon Diggs has put up 126.7 fantasy points this year (11.5 per game), enough to place him 47th overall and ninth among receivers in league-wide fantasy standings.
  • Dawson Knox is 92nd overall and third among tight ends after scoring 85.5 fantasy points (averaging 7.8 per game) so far this season.
  • Emmanuel Sanders’ fantasy season so far has him ranked 94th overall and 31st among receivers with 83 points (7.5 per game).

Patriots Players to Watch

  • So far this season, Mac Jones is the No. 25 fantasy player overall and the No. 19 fantasy quarterback. He’s scored 169.1 points and is averaging 14.1 per game.
  • Damien Harris has put up 116.7 fantasy points this year (9.7 per game), enough to place him 18th among running backs and 57th overall in league-wide fantasy standings.
  • Kendrick Bourne is 20th among receivers and 73rd overall after scoring 103.1 fantasy points (averaging 8.6 per game) so far this season.
  • Hunter Henry’s fantasy season so far has him ranked fifth among tight ends and 97th overall with 81.4 points (6.8 per game).

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