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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons – NFL – Predictions, Betting Lines, Odds and Trends

The Atlanta Falcons (5-6) are 11-point underdogs in a home NFC South matchup with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-3) on Sunday, December 5, 2021 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. A total of 50.5 points has been set for this matchup.

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Predictions

Buccaneers Vs. Falcons Odds

Buccaneers vs Falcons Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Buccaneers -11 -109 -111 50.5 -111 -109 -544 +402

Buccaneers and Falcons: Last Three Games

  • Tampa Bay is 2-1-0 against the spread in its past three games, and has a 2-1 straight-up record in those contests.
  • The final combined score of the past three Buccaneers games went over the set total once.
  • The last three Buccaneers games averaged 51.2 total points, 0.7 more points than this matchup’s point total.
  • Atlanta is 1-2-0 against the spread over its last three games, and has a 1-2 straight-up record in those matchups.
  • In all of those games, the final combined score was under the set total.
  • The Falcons’ past three outings have ended with an average of 49.3 points scored. That’s 1.2 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.

Buccaneers and Falcons: Betting Trends

  • Tampa Bay is 5-6-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Buccaneers are a perfect 4-0 ATS when playing as at least 11-point favorites.
  • Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total six times this season.
  • The Buccaneers have an 8-3 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 72.7% of those games).
  • Tampa Bay has played four times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -544 or shorter, and earned a victory in each game.
  • The Buccaneers have an 84.5% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • Atlanta has covered the spread five times over 11 games with a set spread.
  • The Falcons have not covered the spread when they are at least 11-point underdogs (0-1).
  • This season, Atlanta’s games have hit the over five times.
  • The Falcons have entered the game as underdogs six times this season and won twice.
  • Atlanta has played as an underdog of +402 or more once this season and lost that game.

Over/Under Trends

  • This season, six of Tampa Bay’s 11 games have gone over Sunday’s over/under of 50.5 points.
  • This season, four games Atlanta played finished with a combined score over 50.5 points.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 49.6 points per game, 0.9 points fewer than the total of 50.5 for this game.
  • The 50.5 points these two squads have combined to allow on average this season is equal to the total in this contest.
  • This season, the average total for Buccaneers games is 50.7 points, 0.2 more than the over/under of 50.5 points for this contest.
  • The over/under for this matchup is 2.7 points more than the average over/under in Falcons’ games this season (47.8 points).

Buccaneers Players to Watch

  • Tom Brady is the fifth-best fantasy player overall this season and the fourth-best fantasy quarterback with 245.4 fantasy points (22.3 per game).
  • Leonard Fournette has recorded 145.5 fantasy points this year (13.2 per game), good enough to rank him 32nd overall and eighth among running backs in league-wide fantasy standings.
  • So far this season, Mike Evans’ 130.5 total fantasy points make him the No. 44 fantasy player and No. 7 receiver. He averages 11.9 fantasy points per game.
  • Chris Godwin is working on the 60th-ranked fantasy season (11th among receivers) with 113.8 fantasy points, averaging 10.3 per game.

Falcons Players to Watch

  • So far this season, Matt Ryan is the No. 26 fantasy player overall and the No. 20 fantasy quarterback. He’s scored 157.0 points and is averaging 14.3 per game.
  • Cordarrelle Patterson has collected total 145.1 fantasy points this year (13.2 per game), which make him the ninth-ranked running back and the 33rd-ranked player overall.
  • Kyle Pitts averages 6.6 fantasy points per game on the way to 72.1 total fantasy points. That makes him the 110th-ranked fantasy player overall and the eighth-ranked tight end.
  • Mike Davis is the 152nd-ranked fantasy player — and the 48th-ranked running back — with 56.6 fantasy points (5.1 per game).

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