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New England Patriots vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Betting Preview for Week 12

The top team in the AFC East, the New England Patriots (7-4), are touchdown favorites against the AFC South-leading Tennessee Titans (8-3) on Sunday, November 28, 2021 at Gillette Stadium. An over/under of 43.5 is set for the game.

Patriots Vs. Titans Odds

Patriots vs Titans Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Patriots -7 -105 -115 43.5 -110 -110 -301 +239

Patriots and Titans: Last Three Games

  • New England has covered the spread in each of its past three matchups while going 3-0 overall.
  • The Patriots and their opponents have combined to hit the over in one of those games.
  • The Patriots’ past three outings have ended with an average of 44.3 points scored. That’s 0.8 more points than this contest’s over/under.
  • Tennessee covered the spread once in its past three matchups while putting up a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.
  • The final combined score of the last three Titans games surpassed the set total once.
  • The past three Titans games averaged 3.7 more points (47.2) than this matchup’s point total.

Patriots and Titans: Betting Trends

  • New England has put together a record of 7-4-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Patriots have an ATS record of 2-1 when playing as at least 7-point favorites.
  • New England games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times this season.
  • The Patriots have compiled a 6-2 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 75% of those games).
  • New England has won all three games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -301 or shorter.
  • The Patriots have an implied moneyline win probability of 75.1% in this game.
  • Tennessee has put together a 7-4-0 record against the spread this year.
  • In games they have played as 7-point underdogs or more, the Titans have a perfect ATS record of 1-0.
  • This season, Tennessee’s games have hit the over six times.
  • The Titans have been listed as the underdog five times this season, yet they have won all of those games.
  • Tennessee has played as an underdog of +239 or more once this season and won that game.


Over/Under Trends

  • New England and its opponents have combined to outscore Sunday’s total (43.5 points) five times this season.
  • This season, eight games Tennessee played finished with a combined score over 43.5 points.
  • The Patriots average 27.3 points per game against the Titans’ 26.5, totaling 10.3 points over the matchup’s point total of 43.5.
  • The 39.2 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 4.3 fewer than the 43.5 over/under in this contest.
  • On average, the Patriots have seen a 45.0 over/under in their games this season, 1.5 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
  • Titans’ games have a total points bet of 50.1 points this season, 6.6 points more than the over/under for this game.

Patriots Players to Watch

  • Mac Jones is the 27th-best fantasy player overall this season and the 19th-best fantasy quarterback with 147.6 fantasy points (13.4 per game).
  • Damien Harris has put up 105.5 fantasy points this year (9.6 per game), good enough to place him 64th overall and 19th among running backs in league-wide fantasy standings.
  • So far this season, Kendrick Bourne’s 85.0 total fantasy points make him the No. 83 fantasy player and No. 26 receiver. He averages 7.7 fantasy points per game.
  • Hunter Henry is the 90th-ranked fantasy player — and the third-ranked tight end — with 79.8 fantasy points. He averages 7.3 fantasy points per game.

Titans Players to Watch

  • So far this season, Ryan Tannehill is 13th overall among all players and 12th among all quarterbacks with 178.4 fantasy points (16.2 per game).
  • A.J. Brown has recorded 80.5 fantasy points this year (7.3 per game), good enough to rank him 29th among receivers and 88th overall in league-wide fantasy standings.
  • Nick Westbrook-Ikhine’s 37.2 total fantasy points make him the No. 200 fantasy player and No. 76 receiver. He averages 3.4 fantasy points per game.
  • Jeremy McNichols has put together the 207th-ranked fantasy season (63rd among running backs) with 34.4 fantasy points, averaging 3.1 per game.

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