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Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets NFL Betting Preview for Week 11

AFC East opponents square off when the Miami Dolphins (3-7) visit the New York Jets (2-7) on Sunday, November 21, 2021 at MetLife Stadium. Miami is favored by 3.5 points. The over/under is set at 44.5 points for the outing.

Dolphins Vs. Jets Odds

Dolphins vs Jets Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Dolphins -3.5 -107 -112 44.5 -109 -111 -181 +153

Dolphins and Jets: Last Three Games

  • Miami is 2-0-1 against the spread over its past three games, and has a 2-1 straight-up record in those matchups.
  • The Dolphins and their opponents did not combine to hit the over in any of those games.
  • The Dolphins’ last three games have ended with an average of 46.5 points scored. That’s 2.0 more points than this contest’s over/under.
  • New York covered the spread once in its last three matchups while putting together a 1-2 record straight-up in those games.
  • In all of those games, the final combined score has exceeded the set total.
  • The last three Jets games averaged 45.5 total points, 1.0 more point than this matchup’s over/under.

Dolphins and Jets: Betting Trends

  • Miami has registered a 4-5-1 record against the spread this season.
  • In games they have played as 3.5-point favorites or more, the Dolphins have a perfect ATS record of 1-0.
  • Miami’s games have gone over the total four times this season.
  • The Dolphins have put together a 1-2 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 33.3% of those games).
  • Miami has played as a moneyline favorite of -181 or shorter in only one game this season, which they won.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Dolphins’ implied win probability is 64.4%.
  • New York has covered the spread two times this season (2-7-0).
  • The Jets have an ATS record of 2-6 when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
  • Games involving New York have hit the over six times this year.
  • The Jets have won two of the nine games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • New York has a record of 2-6 when they’re set as an underdog of +153 or more by oddsmakers this season.


Over/Under Trends

  • This season, three of Miami’s 10 games have gone over Sunday’s total of 44.5 points.
  • In New York’s nine games this season, six have finished with more combined scoring than Sunday’s point total of 44.5.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 35.6 points per game, 8.9 points fewer than the over/under of 44.5 for this matchup.
  • These two teams give up a combined 58.1 points per game, 13.6 more than this contest’s over/under.
  • On average, the Dolphins have seen a 46.1 over/under in their games this season, 1.6 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
  • A difference of 0.3 points separates this contest’s over/under (44.5 points) and the average total points bet in Jets’ games (44.2 points) this season.

Dolphins Players to Watch

  • Tua Tagovailoa is the 63rd-best fantasy player overall this season and the 29th-best fantasy quarterback with 92.1 fantasy points (9.2 per game).
  • Myles Gaskin has recorded 76.6 fantasy points this year (7.7 per game), good enough to place him 85th overall and 25th among running backs in league-wide fantasy standings.
  • So far this season, Jacoby Brissett’s 72.1 total fantasy points make him the No. 94 fantasy player and No. 31 quarterback. He averages 7.2 fantasy points per game.
  • Jaylen Waddle is working on the 95th-ranked fantasy season (33rd among receivers) with 71.9 fantasy points, averaging 7.2 per game.

Jets Players to Watch

  • So far this season, Michael Carter is the 69th-best fantasy player overall this season and the 21st-best fantasy running back with 89.3 fantasy points (9.9 per game).
  • Corey Davis’ 66.2 total fantasy points (an average of 7.4 per game), are enough to rank him 36th among receivers and 104th overall.
  • Ty Johnson averages 6.2 fantasy points per game on the way to 56.2 total fantasy points. That makes him the 123rd-ranked fantasy player overall and the 40th-ranked running back.
  • Elijah Moore has put together the 133rd-ranked fantasy season (45th among receivers) with 53.7 fantasy points, averaging 6.0 per game.

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