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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Betting Preview for Week 11

The NFC East-leading Dallas Cowboys (7-2) are tight, 2.5-point underdogs against the best team in the AFC West, the Kansas City Chiefs (6-4), on Sunday, November 21, 2021 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. The game’s over/under is set at 55.5.

Chiefs Vs. Cowboys Odds

Chiefs vs Cowboys Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Chiefs -2.5 -111 -108 55.5 -115 -105 -140 +118

Chiefs and Cowboys: Last Three Games

  • Kansas City is 1-2-0 against the spread and 3-0 overall in its last three matchups.
  • One time in those three games, the final combined score exceeded the set total.
  • The Chiefs’ past three outings have ended with an average of 51.5 points scored. That’s 4.0 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
  • Dallas covered the spread twice in its last three contests while putting up a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.
  • The final combined score of each of the last three Cowboys games did not go over the set point total.
  • The past three Cowboys games averaged 4.2 fewer points (51.3) than this matchup’s over/under.

Chiefs and Cowboys: Betting Trends

  • Kansas City has compiled a 3-7-0 record against the spread this season.
  • In games they have played as 2.5-point favorites or more, the Chiefs have an ATS record of 3-7.
  • Kansas City games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times this season.
  • The Chiefs have won 60% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (6-4).
  • When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -140 or shorter, Kansas City has a 6-4 record (winning 60% of its games).
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Chiefs have an implied win probability of 58.3%.
  • Dallas has gone 8-1-0 against the spread this year.
  • In games they have played as 2.5-point underdogs or more, the Cowboys have a perfect ATS record of 3-0.
  • Games involving Dallas have hit the over five times this season.
  • The Cowboys have entered the game as underdogs three times this season and won twice.
  • Dallas has a record of 2-1 in games where sportsbooks have them as underdogs of at least +118 on the moneyline.


Over/Under Trends

  • Four Kansas City games this season have gone over Sunday’s over/under of 55.5 points.
  • This season, five games Dallas played finished with a combined score over 55.5 points.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 57.8 points per game, 2.3 points more than the over/under of 55.5 for this matchup.
  • This matchup’s over/under is 9.7 fewer points than the 45.8 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2020.
  • The Chiefs have seen a 53.9 average over/under in their games this season, 1.6 points fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
  • The over/under for this matchup is 3.6 points more than the average over/under in Cowboys’ games this season (51.9 points).

Chiefs Players to Watch

  • Patrick Mahomes II is the top fantasy player overall with 221.9 fantasy points (22.2 per game).
  • Tyreek Hill has racked up 137.6 fantasy points this year (13.8 per game), good enough to rank him 25th overall and third among receivers in league-wide fantasy standings.
  • So far this season, Travis Kelce averages 10.3 fantasy points per game on the way to 102.7 total fantasy points. That makes him the 54th-ranked fantasy player overall and the top-ranked tight end.
  • Darrel Williams is the 65th-ranked fantasy player — and the 20th-ranked running back — with 91.4 fantasy points. He averages 9.1 fantasy points per game.

Cowboys Players to Watch

  • So far this season, Dak Prescott is the No. 11 fantasy player overall and the No. 9 fantasy quarterback. He’s scored 176.7 points and is averaging 19.6 per game.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has collected 137.3 fantasy points this year (15.3 per game), good enough to place him fourth among running backs and 26th overall in league-wide fantasy standings.
  • CeeDee Lamb’s 111.6 total fantasy points make him the No. 45 fantasy player and No. 6 receiver. He averages 12.4 fantasy points per game.
  • Amari Cooper is the 71st-ranked fantasy player — and the 20th-ranked receiver — with 88.3 fantasy points (9.8 per game).

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