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18
Apr

NBA Playoffs

nba-playoffs

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Playoffs? You bet we’re talking playoffs as the marathon of mediocrity known as the NBA Regular Season has come to a conclusion we get you ready for the NBA Playoffs. Sean and Ryan give their picks for round one, talk overall strategy when it comes to totals and evaluate any prop bets worth laying. Plus the guys recap the 2014 Masters and the Pacquiao vs Bradley II fight. Odds courtesy of Bovada.

NBA Playoff Odds

Eastern Conference

Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks

(1) Indiana (56-26) (-650)
(8) Atlanta (38-44) (+425)
Regular Season Tied 2-2

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Bobcats

(2) Miami (54-28) (-1875)
(7) Charlotte (43-39) (+1125)
Regular Season Heat 4-0

Toronto Raptors vs Brooklyn Nets

(3) Toronto (48-34) (+140)
(6) Brooklyn (44-38) (-160)
Regular Season Tied 2-2

Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards

(4) Chicago (48-34) (-200)
(5) Washington (44-38) (+170)
Regular Season Wizards 2-1

Western Conference

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks

(1) San Antonio (62-20) (-900)
(8) Dallas (49-33) (+550)
Regular Season Spurs 4-0

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzles

(2) Oklahoma City (59-23) (-420)
(7) Memphis (50-32) (+310)
Regular Season Thunder 3-1

Los Angeles Clippers vs Golden State Warriors

(3) Los Angeles (57-25) (-390)
(6) Golden State (51-31) (+295)
Regular Season Tied 2-2

Houston Rockets vs Portland Trailblazers

(4) Houston (54-28) (-210)
(5) Portland (54-28) (+175)
Regular Season Rockets 3-1

11
Apr

Pacquiao vs. Bradley II

Manny Pacquiao vs Timothy Bradley

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Where: MGM Grand in Las Vegas
When: Saturday, April 12 9PM EST
TV: HBO PPV
Referee: Kenny Bayless
Judges: Glenn Trowbridge, Michael Pernick, Craig Metcalfe
Odds: Manny Pacquiao (-200) vs Timothy Bradley (+162) via Vegas Insider
Rounds Over / Under: Over 9.5 (-353) / Under 9.5 (+258)

Tale Of The Tape

Timothy Bradley CATEGORIES Manny Pacquiao
31-0, 12 KOs RECORD 55-5-2, 38 KOs
30 AGE 35
5′ 6″ HEIGHT 5′ 6.5″
69″ REACH 67″
Orthodox STANCE Southpaw
Desert Storm NICKNAME Pac-Man
California, USA BIRTHPLACE Phillippines

The Picks:

Ryan: Timothy Bradley +162
Sean: Timothy Bradley decision +300

10
Apr

Masters 2014

2014-Masters

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The Masters

1st/2nd Round
Time: 3 p.m. – 7:30 p.m.
TV: ESPN
Online: CBSSports.com

3rd Round
Time: 3 p.m. – 7 p.m.
TV: ESPN
Online: CBSSports.com

4th Round
Time: 2 p.m. – 7 p.m.
TV: ESPN
Online: CBSSports.com

The Picks

Ryan’s Picks:

Zach Johnson +2800
Jason Dufner +3300
Graeme McDowell +6000

Winner will win by 1 strokes +225

Sean’s Picks:

Jason Dufner +3300
Jordan Spieth +3300
Graeme McDowell +6000

Winner will win by 3 strokes +550

Odds to Win the Masters

Name Odds Name Odds Name Odds
Adam Scott 10/1 Steve Stricker 80/1 Stewart Cink 250/1
Rory McIlroy 10/1 K.J. Choi 100/1 Tim Clark 250/1
Phil
Mickelson
12/1 Marc Leishman 100/1 David Lynn 300/1
Jason Day 14/1 Ryan Moore 100/1 John Huh 300/1
Sergio
Garcia
16/1 Victor Dubuisson 100/1 Kevin Stadler 300/1
Matt Kuchar 18/1 Ernie Els 125/1 Roberto Castro 300/1
Bubba Watson 22/1 Francesco Molinari 125/1 Sang-Moon Bae 300/1
Dustin Johnson 22/1 Fred Couples 125/1 Thongchai
Jaidee
300/1
Henrik
Stenson
25/1 Jamie Donaldson 125/1 Vijay Singh 300/1
Zach Johnson 28/1 Matt Every 125/1 Steven Bowditch 400/1
Justin Rose 30/1 Nick Watney 125/1 Yong-Eun Yang 400/1
Brandt Snedeker 33/1 Peter Hanson 125/1 D.A. Points 500/1
Charl
Schwartzel
33/1 Russell Henley 125/1 Darren Clarke 500/1
Jason Dufner 33/1 Thorbjorn
Olesen
125/1 Ken Duke 500/1
Jordan
Spieth
33/1 Billy Horschel 150/1 Lucas Glover 500/1
Keegan Bradley 33/1 Martin Kaymer 150/1 Chang Woo Lee 750/1
Hunter Mahan 40/1 Matt Jones 150/1 Mike Weir 750/1
Lee Westwood 40/1 Matteo
Manassero
150/1 Derek Ernst 1000/1
Angel
Cabrera
50/1 Trevor Immelman 150/1 Jordan Niebrugge 1000/1
Harris English 50/1 Branden Grace 200/1 Jose Maria
Olazabal
1000/1
Ian Poulter 50/1 Chris Kirk 200/1 Mark O’Meara 1000/1
Jimmy Walker 50/1 Gonzalo
Fernandez-Castano
200/1 Matthew
Fitzpatrick
1000/1
Luke Donald 50/1 John Senden 200/1 Oliver Goss 1000/1
Patrick Reed 50/1 Kevin Streelman 200/1 Tom Watson 1000/1
Rickie
Fowler
50/1 Miguel Angel Jimenez 200/1 Michael McCoy 1500/1
Graeme McDowell 60/1 Stephen
Gallacher
200/1 Garrick
Porteous
2000/1
Bill Haas 66/1 Thomas Bjorn 200/1 Sandy Lyle 3000/1
Gary Woodland 66/1 Bernhard Langer 250/1 Ben Crenshaw 5000/1
Graham
Delaet
66/1 Boo Weekley 250/1 Craig Stadler 5000/1
Louis Oosthuizen 66/1 Brendon De
Jonge
250/1 Ian Woosnam 5000/1
Webb Simpson 66/1 Jonas Blixt 250/1 Larry Mize 5000/1
Hideki Matsuyama 80/1 Joost Luiten 250/1
Jim Furyk 80/1 Scott Stallings 250/1

 

7
Apr

NCAA Championship

ncaa-chapionship-uconn-vs-kentucky

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NCAA Championship Preview

(7) Connecticut Huskies vs (8) Kentucky Wildcats
Time: 9:10PM Eastern
TV: CBS
Radio: Westwood One Sports (Kevin Kugler, John Thompson, Bill Raftery)
Online: NCAA.com
Spread: Kentucky -2.5
MoneyLine: -150/+130
Total: 134.5

Game Summary:

With the table set and only dinner to be served lets take a look at this very unique championship match up between the Kentucky Wildcats and the Connecticut Huskies. For starters the combined seed total of 15 destroys the previous record of 11, which was set in the 2011 Championship between Connecticut and another 8 seed the Butler Bulldogs.

Kentucky is actually the 4th team to make the final as an 8 seed with only the 1985 Villanova team winning the championship. Connecticut on the other hand is the first 7 seed to ever make the final; in fact they are only the 2nd 7 seed to even make the final four. Lets take a look at the match-up.

When Kentucky Has The Ball:

Kentucky has the 6th most efficient offense in the country. They accomplish this by boasting the #2 offense rebounding team, leading to easy put backs and their ability to get to the line having one of the highest FTA/FGA percentages in the country. Kentucky also has a lot of size especially at the guard position.

All of that being said they are playing the 10th most efficient defense that uses their length to make it very difficult to score from anywhere on the court. The weakness lies with the defensive glass; the Huskies are in the bottom 25% of defensive rebounding teams, which could be a major problem. Can Kentucky decipher Connecticut’s pesky d? Will the Huskies have enough size on the outside to deal with the Harrison twins? Will the fab freshman of Kentucky play like freshman?

When Connecticut Has The Ball:

Connecticut is efficient on offense for a couple simple reasons (37th Off Eff). They are a good 3 pt shooting team (22th), thanks to the penetration and vision of their undersized guards Napier and Boathouse. The huskies are also a top notch free throw shooting team (4th), which is mainly due to their guards very high FT%.

Kentucky is no slouch on defense (44th) but they have not been quite as good with their big man Cauley-Stein out with an ankle injury. Can Connecticut get Kentucky into foul trouble and execute at the line? Will Kentucky play discipline defense and show that age isn’t a factor? Can Shabazz Napier be stopped?

Kentucky Will Win If:

Kentucky will win if they can dominate the paint like they did against Wisconsin. They’ll also need to dramatically reduce their personal fouls and hope Napier and the Huskies don’t get any calls. With a strong defense effort closing out the 3-point line and high percentage shots in the paint Kentucky can cruise to an easy victory.

Connecticut Will Win If:

They continue to play low turnover basketball and generate turnovers on defense. Look for the quickness of Napier and Boathouse to give the Harrison twins problems, which could lead to foul trouble and easy points for the Huskies. Another factor will be the size of Connecticut, which has caused problems for every team they have played. If Connecticut can be respectable on the glass, they should be holding the trophy at the end of the night.

Ryan’s Prediction:

Like Coach K reminded us after Duke got upset by Mercer, “Sometimes freshman play like freshman.” I think Napier and Boathouse and the rest of the Connecticut defense causes havoc leading to turnovers and easy transition buckets. Both teams will struggle to score during stretches but Connecticut and their veteran leadership will stay composed. Shit they have trailed by 9+ points in 4 out of the 5 games they have played in. Its more than just the matchup, I don’t want to fade Shabazz Napier at anything right now. UCONN cuts down the nets and Napier gets the MOP.

Pick:
Connecticut +3/2.5
Connecticut +130
Under 134.5

Sean’s Prediction:

Defense wins championships. Everyone is talking about Shabazz Napier and Harrison’s game winning threes, people are over looking UCONN’s shut down defense. The Huskies will play solid defense and frustrate Kentucky who will turn into a jump shooting team. Napier will find a way to get to the line and the Huskies experience will be too much for the inexperienced Wildcats.

Pick:
Connecticut +3
Connecticut ML & Under 134.5 Parlay

3
Apr

Final Four And DeSean Jackson

final-four-preview
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DeSean Jackson Signs With The Washington Redskins
DeSean Jackson signed a three-year $24 million contract with $16 million of that contract guaranteed. The guys discuss how this will impact the NFC East, while Sean tries to defend the Eagles and their decision to release their top receiver. Was it the gang ties? Was it his contract? Or was it simply his attitude?

Final Four Preview

(1) Florida Gators vs (7) Connecticut Huskies
Time: 6:09PM Eastern
TV: TBS (Jim Nantz & Greg Anthony)
Radio: Westwood One Sports (Kevin Kugler, John Thompson, Bill Raftery)
Online: NCAA.com
Spread: FLA -6
MoneyLine: -300/+250
Total: 126.5
Story Line: Florida takes their top ranked defense and efficient offense and looks to extend its 30 game win streak against the team they last lost to. Meanwhile UConn looks for a repeat of 2011 where a undersized guard put them on his back all the way to a National Championship.

(2) Wisconsin Badgers vs (8) Kentucky Wildcats
Time: 8:49PM Eastern
TV: TBS (Jim Nantz & Greg Anthony)
Radio: Westwood One Sports (Kevin Kugler, John Thompson, Bill Raftery)
Online: NCAA.com
Spread: Kentucky -2
MoneyLine: -130/+110
Total: 140
Story Line: In what will surely be looked at as a metaphor for the “One and Done” vs “Grass roots” debate, Wisconsin will look to limit errors and play their efficient brand of basketball vs a team features length and athleticism. It’s the future NBA stars vs the future Rec League stars.

Ryan Kramer and Sean Green are writers and co-hosts for the Sports Gambling Podcast. Follow the show on twitter @GamblingPodcast.